基于人工神经网络的风力发电预测

Q3 Engineering
M. Obeidat, Baker N Al Ameryeen, A. Mansour, Hesham Al Salem, Abdullah Eial Awwad
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风能是电力系统中最重要的能源之一。预测风速是困难的,因为风的特性是不可预测的,高度可变的,并且取决于许多因素。本文介绍了一种用于风能预测的人工神经网络的设计,该网络是使用影响风能发电的天气数据进行训练的。人工神经网络(ANN)由于其优越的性能近年来越来越受欢迎。所开发的模型的主要目标是改进对风电场发电量的预测。所开发的系统允许电力系统运营商确定依赖风电场为电力系统发电的最佳时间,而不会影响系统的稳定性,并降低传统方法的发电成本。该分析是通过调查风力潜力并从高度推荐的来源收集数据来进行的。使用热图、协方差和相关方法对数据进行分析,然后在MATLAB 2020中使用数据构建人工神经网络。结果表明,准确率高达99.9%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wind Power Forecasting using Artificial Neural Network
The electric energy generated from wind resources is now one of the most important sources in the electrical power system. Predicting wind speed is difficult because wind characteristics are unpredictable, highly variable, and dependent on many factors. This paper presents the design of an artificial neural network used in wind energy forecasting that has been trained using weather data that influences wind energy generation. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) has gained popularity in recent years due to its superior performance. The main objective of the developed model is to improve the forecasting of energy generated from wind farms. The developed system allows the power system operator to determine the best time to rely on the wind farm to produce power for the electrical system without affecting the stability of the system and reducing the cost of electricity generation due to the traditional method. The analysis is performed by investigating wind potential and collecting data from a highly recommended source. The heatmap, covariance and correlation methods are used to analyze the data, and then the data is used to build an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in MATLAB 2020. The results show very high accuracy 99.9%.
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来源期刊
WSEAS Transactions on Power Systems
WSEAS Transactions on Power Systems Engineering-Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
36
期刊介绍: WSEAS Transactions on Power Systems publishes original research papers relating to electric power and energy. We aim to bring important work to a wide international audience and therefore only publish papers of exceptional scientific value that advance our understanding of these particular areas. The research presented must transcend the limits of case studies, while both experimental and theoretical studies are accepted. It is a multi-disciplinary journal and therefore its content mirrors the diverse interests and approaches of scholars involved with generation, transmission & distribution planning, alternative energy systems, power market, switching and related areas. We also welcome scholarly contributions from officials with government agencies, international agencies, and non-governmental organizations.
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