保护性因素在青少年暴力风险结构化评估预测准确性中的作用

IF 1.5 1区社会学 Q2 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY

Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI:10.1177/1541204019837329

Melanie F. P. Soderstrom, Kristina K. Childs, P. Frick

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引用次数: 5

摘要

使用风险评估工具已成为少年司法系统的标准程序。对这些工具的预测有效性的大多数实证评估都集中在总风险评分、个体风险因素或风险域预测青少年负面结果的能力上，但没有考虑保护因素在影响或调节这些风险方面的效用。本研究利用青少年暴力风险的结构化评估，使用南部一个州的裁决后青少年样本（n=460），分析保护因素对再犯的影响。在双变量分析中，总体保护域和两个特定保护因素与再犯有关。然而，在控制风险领域时，保护因素并不能预测再次犯罪。相反，进一步的分析表明，某些保护因素缓冲了一些风险领域的影响。

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The Role of Protective Factors in the Predictive Accuracy of the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY)

The use of risk assessment instruments has become standard procedure in the juvenile justice system. Most empirical assessments of the predictive validity of these instruments concentrate on the ability of a total risk score, individual risk factors, or risk domains to predict negative juvenile outcomes but fail to consider the utility of the protective factors in influencing or moderating those risks. This study utilizes the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth to analyze the impact of protective factors on reoffending using a sample (n = 460) of postadjudication juveniles in a southern state. The overall protective domain and two specific protective factors were related to reoffending in bivariate analyses. However, protective factors did not predict reoffending when controlling for risk domains. Rather, further analyses suggest that certain protective factors buffer the effects of some of the risk domains.

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来源期刊

Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-

CiteScore

6.90

自引率

10.50%

发文量

期刊介绍： Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice: An Interdisciplinary Journal provides academics and practitioners in juvenile justice and related fields with a resource for publishing current empirical research on programs, policies, and practices in the areas of youth violence and juvenile justice. Emphasis is placed on such topics as serious and violent juvenile offenders, juvenile offender recidivism, institutional violence, and other relevant topics to youth violence and juvenile justice such as risk assessment, psychopathy, self-control, and gang membership, among others. Decided emphasis is placed on empirical research with specific implications relevant to juvenile justice process, policy, and administration. Interdisciplinary in scope, Youth Violence and Juvenile Justice serves a diverse audience of academics and practitioners in the fields of criminal justice, education, psychology, social work, behavior analysis, sociology, law, counseling, public health, and all others with an interest in youth violence and juvenile justice.