{"title":"基于二元logistic分析的颈圈监测奶牛健康障碍预测","authors":"Xiaojing Zhou, Chuang Xu, Zixuan Zhao, Hao Wang, Meng Chen, Bin Jia","doi":"10.1590/1678-4162-12880","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The objective of this study was to analyze data on physical activity and rumination time monitored via collars at the farm coupled with milk yield recorded by the rotary milking system to predict cows based on several disorders using the binary Logistic regression conducted with R software. Data for metritis (n=60), mastitis (n=98), lameness (n=35), and digestive disorders (n=52) were collected from 1,618 healthy cows used to construct the prediction model. To verify the feasibility and adaptability of the proposed method, we analyzed data of cows in the same herd (herd 1) not used to construct the model, and cows in another herd (herd 2) with data recorded by the same type of automated system, and led to detection of 75.0%, 64.2%, 74.2%, and 76.9% animals in herd 1 correctly predicted to suffer from metritis, mastitis, lameness, and digestive disorders, respectively. For cows in herd 2, 66.6%, 58.8%, 80.7%, and 71.4% were correctly predicted for metritis, mastitis, lameness, and digestive disorders, respectively. Compared with traditional clinical diagnoses by farm personnel, the algorithm developed allowed for earlier prediction of cows with a disorder.","PeriodicalId":8393,"journal":{"name":"Arquivo Brasileiro De Medicina Veterinaria E Zootecnia","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4000,"publicationDate":"2023-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Prediction of health disorders in dairy cows monitored with collar based on Binary logistic analysis\",\"authors\":\"Xiaojing Zhou, Chuang Xu, Zixuan Zhao, Hao Wang, Meng Chen, Bin Jia\",\"doi\":\"10.1590/1678-4162-12880\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"ABSTRACT The objective of this study was to analyze data on physical activity and rumination time monitored via collars at the farm coupled with milk yield recorded by the rotary milking system to predict cows based on several disorders using the binary Logistic regression conducted with R software. Data for metritis (n=60), mastitis (n=98), lameness (n=35), and digestive disorders (n=52) were collected from 1,618 healthy cows used to construct the prediction model. To verify the feasibility and adaptability of the proposed method, we analyzed data of cows in the same herd (herd 1) not used to construct the model, and cows in another herd (herd 2) with data recorded by the same type of automated system, and led to detection of 75.0%, 64.2%, 74.2%, and 76.9% animals in herd 1 correctly predicted to suffer from metritis, mastitis, lameness, and digestive disorders, respectively. For cows in herd 2, 66.6%, 58.8%, 80.7%, and 71.4% were correctly predicted for metritis, mastitis, lameness, and digestive disorders, respectively. Compared with traditional clinical diagnoses by farm personnel, the algorithm developed allowed for earlier prediction of cows with a disorder.\",\"PeriodicalId\":8393,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Arquivo Brasileiro De Medicina Veterinaria E Zootecnia\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Arquivo Brasileiro De Medicina Veterinaria E Zootecnia\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"97\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-4162-12880\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"农林科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"VETERINARY SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Arquivo Brasileiro De Medicina Veterinaria E Zootecnia","FirstCategoryId":"97","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-4162-12880","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"VETERINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Prediction of health disorders in dairy cows monitored with collar based on Binary logistic analysis
ABSTRACT The objective of this study was to analyze data on physical activity and rumination time monitored via collars at the farm coupled with milk yield recorded by the rotary milking system to predict cows based on several disorders using the binary Logistic regression conducted with R software. Data for metritis (n=60), mastitis (n=98), lameness (n=35), and digestive disorders (n=52) were collected from 1,618 healthy cows used to construct the prediction model. To verify the feasibility and adaptability of the proposed method, we analyzed data of cows in the same herd (herd 1) not used to construct the model, and cows in another herd (herd 2) with data recorded by the same type of automated system, and led to detection of 75.0%, 64.2%, 74.2%, and 76.9% animals in herd 1 correctly predicted to suffer from metritis, mastitis, lameness, and digestive disorders, respectively. For cows in herd 2, 66.6%, 58.8%, 80.7%, and 71.4% were correctly predicted for metritis, mastitis, lameness, and digestive disorders, respectively. Compared with traditional clinical diagnoses by farm personnel, the algorithm developed allowed for earlier prediction of cows with a disorder.
期刊介绍:
Publica artigos originais de pesquisa sobre temas de medicina veterinária, zootecnia, tecnologia e inspeção de produtos de origem animal e áreas afins relacionadas com a produção animal. Atualmente a revista mantém 628 permutas (419 internacionais e 209 nacionais), sendo um verdadeiro suporte para o recebimento de periódicos pela Biblioteca da Escola.
A partir de 1999, a Escola de Veterinária delegou à FEP MVZ Editora o encargo do gerenciamento e edição de todas suas publicações, inclusive do Arquivo, ficando somente com o apoio logístico (instalações, equipamentos, pessoal etc.). O apoio financeiro é exercido pelo CNPq/FINEP e pela própria FEP MVZ.