泰国COVID-19的人口统计和初步暴发模式。

IF 1.6 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY
JOURNAL OF POPULATION RESEARCH Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-11-09 DOI:10.1007/s12546-021-09276-y
Pavitra Jindahra, Kua Wongboonsin, Patcharawalai Wongboonsin
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本研究通过分析COVID-19感染的人口统计学异质性,揭示年龄结构和性别对COVID-19传播模式的影响,发现感染在年龄、性别和爆发时间上分布不均匀。基于聚类分析,我们分析了2020年1月12日至5月12日泰国4个月的COVID-19暴发数据(N = 3017),涵盖了初波暴发的早期和晚期。结果显示,共发生7起相关聚集性疫情。感染风险按年龄、性别和确诊感染期进行分类。结果表明,老年和年轻男性群体在疫情一开始就有感染的危险。当传播变得普遍时,工作年龄男性、年轻女性和老年男性聚集群是控制传播的关键聚集群。在这波浪潮结束时涉及的相关群组包括一般公众和较年轻的群组。有趣的是,与其他区域不同,泰国的感染风险在年轻年龄组和男性人群中更大。尽管老年人比其他聚集性人群更早有感染风险,但感染比例较低。这些发现为了解COVID-19感染的风险提供了新的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Demographic and initial outbreak patterns of COVID-19 in Thailand.

Demographic and initial outbreak patterns of COVID-19 in Thailand.

Demographic and initial outbreak patterns of COVID-19 in Thailand.

Demographic and initial outbreak patterns of COVID-19 in Thailand.

This study investigated the demographic heterogeneity of COVID-19 infection to reveal the role of age structure and gender on COVID-19 diffusion patterns, demonstrating that the infection is distributed unevenly across ages, genders, and outbreak times. Based on cluster analysis, we analysed the 4-month COVID-19 outbreak data (N = 3017) in Thailand from January 12 to May 12, 2020, covering the early to late outbreak period of the initial wave. Results revealed that there are 7 pertinent clusters of COVID-19 outbreaks. Infection risk was classified by age, sex, and confirmed infection period. Results showed that elderly and young male clusters were at risk of becoming infected at the very beginning of the wave. Working-age male, young female, and elderly male clusters were key clusters controlling transmission when spreading became pervasive. Relevant clusters addressed at the end of the wave included general public and younger age clusters. Unlike other regions, the infection risk in Thailand is interestingly stronger among younger age clusters and male populations. Even though elderly individuals are at risk of becoming infected earlier than other clusters, the infection proportion was low. The findings provide new insights into the risk for COVID-19 infection.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: The Journal of Population Research is a peer-reviewed, international journal which publishes papers on demography and population-related issues. Coverage is not restricted geographically. The Journal publishes substantive empirical analyses, theoretical works, applied research and contributions to methodology. Submissions may take the form of original research papers, perspectives, review articles and shorter technical research notes. Special issues emanating from conferences and other meetings are also considered.
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