9/11事件前后纽约市和纽约州头颈癌的发病率

IF 1.3
Rosalie Machado, Tristan Tham, Daniel Zhu, Amanda Wong, David Hiltzik, Ansley Roche
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在911之前和之后,纽约州(NYS)的癌症发病率,包括肺癌、结直肠癌和肾癌,此前已有报道。迄今为止,9/11前后头颈癌(HNCs)的发病率尚未被描述。方法:口腔及口咽部肿瘤;鼻子、鼻腔、鼻咽和中耳;喉;和甲状腺是通过纽约州癌症登记处(NYSCR)确定的。1987年至2015年,年龄调整后的发病率和每10万居民的发病率采用联结点回归分析。用年度百分比变化给出了发病率的趋势。结果:1987 - 2003年,纽约州HNC总发病率小幅上升0.7% (p < 0.001)。2003 - 2008年,发病率上升了5.73% (p < 0.001), 2008 - 2015年,发病率上升了1.68% (p < 0.001)。1987 - 2003年甲状腺癌发病率上升了6.79% (p < 0.001), 2003 - 2009年上升了9.99% (p < 0.001), 2009 - 2015年上升了2.41% (p = 0.001)。在所有时间点,女性患甲状腺癌的比例都更高。在不包括甲状腺癌的HNCs亚群分析中,1991年至2001年,发病率下降了2.02% (p < 0.001), 2001年至2015年,发病率无统计学意义地增加了0.1% (p = 0.515)。1999 - 2015年,口咽癌发生率显著上升(2.65%;P < 0.001)。1987 ~ 2003年口腔癌发病率显著下降(1.97%;P < 0.001), 2003年后无显著变化。1987 - 2015年喉癌发病率显著下降2.43% (p < 0.001),鼻腔/鼻咽癌发病率显著下降(0.33%;P = 0.03)。结论:在纽约州,OP癌和甲状腺癌的发病率在研究期间显著增加。女性患甲状腺癌的几率更高。“9·11”事件后HNC合并率较“9·11”事件前显著上升;然而,在所有HNC患者(不包括甲状腺癌)的亚组分析中,发病率在9/11之前显著下降,之后无显著上升。这表明甲状腺癌的增加是纽约州HNC合并增加的原因。9/11对HNC比率的影响需要进一步研究。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Incidence of Head and Neck Cancers before and after 9/11 in New York City and New York State.

Introduction: The incidence of cancers in New York State (NYS) before and after 9/11 including lung, colorectal, and renal cancers has been previously described. To date, the incidence of head and neck cancers (HNCs) before and after 9/11 has not been described.

Methods: Cancers involving the oral cavity and oropharynx; the nose, nasal cavity, nasopharynx, and middle ear; larynx; and thyroid were identified using the New York State Cancer Registry (NYSCR). Age-adjusted incidence and rates per 100,000 residents from 1987 to 2015 were analyzed using joinpoint regression. Trends in incidence using annual percent changes are presented.

Results: The overall rate of HNC increased slightly by 0.7% (p < 0.001) from 1987 to 2003 in NYS. From 2003 to 2008, the rate increased by 5.73% (p < 0.001), and from 2008 to 2015, the rate increased by 1.68% (p < 0.001). The rate of thyroid cancer increased by 6.79% (p < 0.001) from 1987 to 2003, by 9.99% (p < 0.001) from 2003 to 2009, and by 2.41% (p = 0.001) from 2009 to 2015. The rate of thyroid cancer was higher in women at all time points. In a subset analysis of HNCs excluding thyroid cancer, the rate decreased by 2.02% (p < 0.001) from 1991 to 2001, followed by a nonsignificant increase of 0.1% (p = 0.515) from 2001 to 2015. The rate of oropharyngeal (OP) cancer significantly increased from 1999 to 2015 (2.65%; p < 0.001). The rate of oral cavity cancer significantly decreased from 1987 to 2003 (1.97%; p < 0.001), with no significant change after 2003. The rate of laryngeal cancer decreased significantly by 2.43% (p < 0.001) from 1987 to 2015, as did the rate of nasal cavity/nasopharyngeal cancer (0.33%; p = 0.03).

Conclusions: In NYS, OP cancer and thyroid cancer rates increased significantly during the study period. The rate of thyroid cancer was higher in women. The rate of combined HNC increased significantly after 9/11 compared to before 9/11; however, in a subset analysis of all HNC patients excluding thyroid cancer, the rate decreased significantly prior to 9/11 and then nonsignificantly increased afterward. This suggests that the increase in thyroid cancer accounts for the increase in combined HNC in NYS. The impact of 9/11 on rates of HNC requires further research.

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