Predictability of success and open conjunctival revision rates in the subsequent eye after XEN45 Gel Stent implantation according to lens status.

Purpose: To determine the predictability of success and the risk of open conjunctival revision in the subsequent eye after XEN45 Gel Stent implantation according to lens status.

Methods: This was a retrospective single-centre study involving 132 eyes of 66 participants who had undergone intraocular pressure (IOP)-lowering XEN45 Gel Stent implantation, either as a standalone procedure in phakic and pseudophakic eyes or in combination with phacoemulsification. Successful surgery was defined by three scores: IOP at follow-up < 21 mmHg (score A) or < 18 mmHg (score B) and an IOP reduction > 20% or IOP ≤ 15 mmHg and an IOP reduction ≥ 40% (score C). In all scores, one open conjunctival revision was allowed, and additional repeat surgery was considered a failure. The predictability of success and revision rate depending on the outcome of the first eye were calculated using Bayes' theorem.

Results: IOP-lowering did not differ significantly between the first and second eyes. Success rates of standalone surgery in the second eye after successful surgery in the first eye significantly exceed rates after prior failure. For the combined procedure, the rates did not differ significantly. For score A, we determined a 76.6% chance of success following a prior success and a 57.9% chance, if prior surgery failed. The corresponding probabilities were 75% and 59.1% for score B, while 66.7% and 15.7% for score C, respectively. We calculated a 60% risk for revision surgery in the standalone phakic group. If the first eye was not revised, the risk of revision in the subsequent eye was 20%. The corresponding risks were 72.7% and 5% for the standalone procedure in pseudophakic patients and 38.4% and 41.7% for the combined procedure, respectively.

Conclusion: The results of our study offer a tool to predict the outcome of subsequent eye surgeries based on either the outcome in the initial eye and the type of surgery performed, owing to the high predictive potential.