hpv -沙眼衣原体共感染模型的最优控制及成本-效果分析

IF 1.4 4区 生物学 Q4 MATHEMATICAL & COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY
A. Omame, C. U. Nnanna, S. C. Inyama
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引用次数: 19

摘要

在这项工作中,建立并分析了一个具有成本效益最优控制分析的人乳头瘤病毒(HPV)和沙眼衣原体的共同感染模型。当相关繁殖数不太一致时,共感染模型的无病平衡不全局渐近稳定。证明了当相关的繁殖数小于1时,模型会发生后向分叉现象。还表明,HPV再感染(\(\varepsilon_{\textsc{p}}\ne0\))诱导了后分叉现象。最优控制模型的数值模拟表明:(i)在没有沙眼衣原体控制的情况下,仅关注HPV干预策略(HPV预防和筛查),会对单独感染沙眼衣原体的个体总数产生积极的群体水平影响,(ii)集中于单独的沙眼衣原体干预控制(沙眼衣原体预防和治疗),在没有HPV干预策略的情况下,观察到人群水平对单独感染HPV的个体总数的积极影响。此外,结合并实施HPV和沙眼衣原体预防控制的策略是所有控制策略中最具成本效益的,以对抗HPV和沙眼梭菌的共同感染。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Optimal Control and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of an HPV–Chlamydia trachomatis Co-infection Model

Optimal Control and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of an HPV–Chlamydia trachomatis Co-infection Model

In this work, a co-infection model for human papillomavirus (HPV) and Chlamydia trachomatis with cost-effectiveness optimal control analysis is developed and analyzed. The disease-free equilibrium of the co-infection model is shown not to be globally asymptotically stable, when the associated reproduction number is less unity. It is proven that the model undergoes the phenomenon of backward bifurcation when the associated reproduction number is less than unity. It is also shown that HPV re-infection (\(\varepsilon_{\textsc{p}} \ne 0\)) induced the phenomenon of backward bifurcation. Numerical simulations of the optimal control model showed that: (i) focusing on HPV intervention strategy alone (HPV prevention and screening), in the absence of C. trachomatis control, leads to a positive population level impact on the total number of individuals singly infected with C. trachomatis, (ii) Concentrating on C. trachomatis intervention controls alone (C. trachomatis prevention and treatment), in the absence of HPV intervention strategies, a positive population level impact is observed on the total number of individuals singly infected with HPV. Moreover, the strategy that combines and implements HPV and C. trachomatis prevention controls is the most cost-effective of all the control strategies in combating the co-infections of HPV and C. trachomatis.

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来源期刊
Acta Biotheoretica
Acta Biotheoretica 生物-生物学
CiteScore
2.70
自引率
7.70%
发文量
19
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: Acta Biotheoretica is devoted to the promotion of theoretical biology, encompassing mathematical biology and the philosophy of biology, paying special attention to the methodology of formation of biological theory. Papers on all kind of biological theories are welcome. Interesting subjects include philosophy of biology, biomathematics, computational biology, genetics, ecology and morphology. The process of theory formation can be presented in verbal or mathematical form. Moreover, purely methodological papers can be devoted to the historical origins of the philosophy underlying biological theories and concepts. Papers should contain clear statements of biological assumptions, and where applicable, a justification of their translation into mathematical form and a detailed discussion of the mathematical treatment. The connection to empirical data should be clarified. Acta Biotheoretica also welcomes critical book reviews, short comments on previous papers and short notes directing attention to interesting new theoretical ideas.
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