Mateus Henrique Guiotti Mazão Lima, Juliano Porto Nascimento, Marcos Loiola de Souza, Vanessa Alves Paraizo, Patrícia Silva Nunes, Rafael Alves Guimarães
{"title":"巴西Goiás麻风病指标的规模和时间趋势:2001-2017年的生态研究","authors":"Mateus Henrique Guiotti Mazão Lima, Juliano Porto Nascimento, Marcos Loiola de Souza, Vanessa Alves Paraizo, Patrícia Silva Nunes, Rafael Alves Guimarães","doi":"10.1590/S1679-49742020000500012","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To analyze the trend of leprosy indicators in Goiás between 2001 and 2017.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>An ecological time series study was conducted. Leprosy morbidity and operational indicators were calculated using Notifiable Health Conditions Information System data. Prais-Winsten regression was used for trend analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There was a falling trend in the detection rate in the general population (Annual Percent Change [APC] = -6.8 - 95%CI -8.2;-5.4) and in children under 15 years old (APC = -7.2 - 95%CI -8.5;-5.9); a rising trend in the proportion of grade 2 disability (APC = 3.7 - 95%CI 2.0;5.3) and in the proportion of examined physical disability (APC = 0.6 - 95%CI 0.3;0.8); healing and examined contacts proportions were stable.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Detection rates decreased while the proportions of grade 2 physical disability and examined physical disability increased.</p>","PeriodicalId":520611,"journal":{"name":"Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil","volume":" ","pages":"e2019575"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Magnitude and temporal trend of leprosy indicators in Goiás, Brazil: an ecological study 2001-2017.\",\"authors\":\"Mateus Henrique Guiotti Mazão Lima, Juliano Porto Nascimento, Marcos Loiola de Souza, Vanessa Alves Paraizo, Patrícia Silva Nunes, Rafael Alves Guimarães\",\"doi\":\"10.1590/S1679-49742020000500012\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To analyze the trend of leprosy indicators in Goiás between 2001 and 2017.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>An ecological time series study was conducted. Leprosy morbidity and operational indicators were calculated using Notifiable Health Conditions Information System data. Prais-Winsten regression was used for trend analysis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>There was a falling trend in the detection rate in the general population (Annual Percent Change [APC] = -6.8 - 95%CI -8.2;-5.4) and in children under 15 years old (APC = -7.2 - 95%CI -8.5;-5.9); a rising trend in the proportion of grade 2 disability (APC = 3.7 - 95%CI 2.0;5.3) and in the proportion of examined physical disability (APC = 0.6 - 95%CI 0.3;0.8); healing and examined contacts proportions were stable.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Detection rates decreased while the proportions of grade 2 physical disability and examined physical disability increased.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":520611,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"e2019575\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-11-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1590/S1679-49742020000500012\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2020/1/1 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"eCollection\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Epidemiologia e servicos de saude : revista do Sistema Unico de Saude do Brasil","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1590/S1679-49742020000500012","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2020/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Magnitude and temporal trend of leprosy indicators in Goiás, Brazil: an ecological study 2001-2017.
Objective: To analyze the trend of leprosy indicators in Goiás between 2001 and 2017.
Methods: An ecological time series study was conducted. Leprosy morbidity and operational indicators were calculated using Notifiable Health Conditions Information System data. Prais-Winsten regression was used for trend analysis.
Results: There was a falling trend in the detection rate in the general population (Annual Percent Change [APC] = -6.8 - 95%CI -8.2;-5.4) and in children under 15 years old (APC = -7.2 - 95%CI -8.5;-5.9); a rising trend in the proportion of grade 2 disability (APC = 3.7 - 95%CI 2.0;5.3) and in the proportion of examined physical disability (APC = 0.6 - 95%CI 0.3;0.8); healing and examined contacts proportions were stable.
Conclusion: Detection rates decreased while the proportions of grade 2 physical disability and examined physical disability increased.
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