{"title":"1996-2018年转基因作物技术使用:农业收入和生产影响。","authors":"Graham Brookes, Peter Barfoot","doi":"10.1080/21645698.2020.1779574","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This paper estimates the global value of using genetically modified (GM) crop technology in agriculture at the farm level. It follows and updates earlier studies which examined impacts on yields, key variable costs of production, direct farm (gross) income, and impacts on the production base of the four main crops of soybeans, corn, cotton, and canola. This updated analysis shows that there continues to be very significant net economic benefits at the farm level amounting to $18.9 billion in 2018 and $225.1 billion for the period 1996-2018 (in nominal terms). These gains have been divided 52% to farmers in developing countries and 48% to farmers in developed countries. Seventy-two per cent of the gains have derived from yield and production gains with the remaining 28% coming from cost savings. The technology has also made important contributions to increasing global production levels of the four main crops, having, for example, added 278 million tonnes and 498 million tonnes, respectively, to the global production of soybeans and maize since the introduction of the technology in the mid-1990 s. In terms of investment, for each extra dollar invested in GM crop seeds (relative to the cost of conventional seed), farmers gained an average US $3.75 in extra income. In developing countries, the average return was $4.41 for each extra dollar invested in GM crop seed and in developed countries the average return was $3.24.</p>","PeriodicalId":54282,"journal":{"name":"Gm Crops & Food-Biotechnology in Agriculture and the Food Chain","volume":"11 4","pages":"242-261"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5000,"publicationDate":"2020-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/21645698.2020.1779574","citationCount":"44","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"GM crop technology use 1996-2018: farm income and production impacts.\",\"authors\":\"Graham Brookes, Peter Barfoot\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/21645698.2020.1779574\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>This paper estimates the global value of using genetically modified (GM) crop technology in agriculture at the farm level. It follows and updates earlier studies which examined impacts on yields, key variable costs of production, direct farm (gross) income, and impacts on the production base of the four main crops of soybeans, corn, cotton, and canola. This updated analysis shows that there continues to be very significant net economic benefits at the farm level amounting to $18.9 billion in 2018 and $225.1 billion for the period 1996-2018 (in nominal terms). These gains have been divided 52% to farmers in developing countries and 48% to farmers in developed countries. Seventy-two per cent of the gains have derived from yield and production gains with the remaining 28% coming from cost savings. The technology has also made important contributions to increasing global production levels of the four main crops, having, for example, added 278 million tonnes and 498 million tonnes, respectively, to the global production of soybeans and maize since the introduction of the technology in the mid-1990 s. In terms of investment, for each extra dollar invested in GM crop seeds (relative to the cost of conventional seed), farmers gained an average US $3.75 in extra income. In developing countries, the average return was $4.41 for each extra dollar invested in GM crop seed and in developed countries the average return was $3.24.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54282,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Gm Crops & Food-Biotechnology in Agriculture and the Food Chain\",\"volume\":\"11 4\",\"pages\":\"242-261\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/21645698.2020.1779574\",\"citationCount\":\"44\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Gm Crops & Food-Biotechnology in Agriculture and the Food Chain\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/21645698.2020.1779574\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"农林科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BIOTECHNOLOGY & APPLIED MICROBIOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Gm Crops & Food-Biotechnology in Agriculture and the Food Chain","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/21645698.2020.1779574","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BIOTECHNOLOGY & APPLIED MICROBIOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
GM crop technology use 1996-2018: farm income and production impacts.
This paper estimates the global value of using genetically modified (GM) crop technology in agriculture at the farm level. It follows and updates earlier studies which examined impacts on yields, key variable costs of production, direct farm (gross) income, and impacts on the production base of the four main crops of soybeans, corn, cotton, and canola. This updated analysis shows that there continues to be very significant net economic benefits at the farm level amounting to $18.9 billion in 2018 and $225.1 billion for the period 1996-2018 (in nominal terms). These gains have been divided 52% to farmers in developing countries and 48% to farmers in developed countries. Seventy-two per cent of the gains have derived from yield and production gains with the remaining 28% coming from cost savings. The technology has also made important contributions to increasing global production levels of the four main crops, having, for example, added 278 million tonnes and 498 million tonnes, respectively, to the global production of soybeans and maize since the introduction of the technology in the mid-1990 s. In terms of investment, for each extra dollar invested in GM crop seeds (relative to the cost of conventional seed), farmers gained an average US $3.75 in extra income. In developing countries, the average return was $4.41 for each extra dollar invested in GM crop seed and in developed countries the average return was $3.24.
期刊介绍:
GM Crops & Food - Biotechnology in Agriculture and the Food Chain aims to publish high quality research papers, reviews, and commentaries on a wide range of topics involving genetically modified (GM) crops in agriculture and genetically modified food. The journal provides a platform for research papers addressing fundamental questions in the development, testing, and application of transgenic crops. The journal further covers topics relating to socio-economic issues, commercialization, trade and societal issues. GM Crops & Food aims to provide an international forum on all issues related to GM crops, especially toward meaningful communication between scientists and policy-makers.
GM Crops & Food will publish relevant and high-impact original research with a special focus on novelty-driven studies with the potential for application. The journal also publishes authoritative review articles on current research and policy initiatives, and commentary on broad perspectives regarding genetically modified crops. The journal serves a wide readership including scientists, breeders, and policy-makers, as well as a wider community of readers (educators, policy makers, scholars, science writers and students) interested in agriculture, medicine, biotechnology, investment, and technology transfer.
Topics covered include, but are not limited to:
• Production and analysis of transgenic crops
• Gene insertion studies
• Gene silencing
• Factors affecting gene expression
• Post-translational analysis
• Molecular farming
• Field trial analysis
• Commercialization of modified crops
• Safety and regulatory affairs
BIOLOGICAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
• Biofuels
• Data from field trials
• Development of transformation technology
• Elimination of pollutants (Bioremediation)
• Gene silencing mechanisms
• Genome Editing
• Herbicide resistance
• Molecular farming
• Pest resistance
• Plant reproduction (e.g., male sterility, hybrid breeding, apomixis)
• Plants with altered composition
• Tolerance to abiotic stress
• Transgenesis in agriculture
• Biofortification and nutrients improvement
• Genomic, proteomic and bioinformatics methods used for developing GM cops
ECONOMIC, POLITICAL AND SOCIAL ISSUES
• Commercialization
• Consumer attitudes
• International bodies
• National and local government policies
• Public perception, intellectual property, education, (bio)ethical issues
• Regulation, environmental impact and containment
• Socio-economic impact
• Food safety and security
• Risk assessments