边缘冰带动力学:历史、定义和研究前景。

Dany Dumont
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引用次数: 12

摘要

尽管在数值天气和气候预报方面取得了巨大的科技进步,但在短期预报和气候预估应用中,模式对海冰的预测仍然不可靠。两个半球的总冰面积与冰边缘的位置有关,因此也与紧邻开放海洋的那部分被称为边缘冰带(MIZ)的冰盖的情况有关。越来越多的证据表明,在中纬度地区发生的过程可能在两个半球的极地气候中发挥重要作用,但一些关键的物理过程仍然在模式中缺失。由于为气候研究开发的海冰模型越来越多地用于业务预测,缺少物理特性也阻碍了短期海冰预测技能。本文从历史的角度回顾了自20世纪70年代以来MIZ研究的进展,重点介绍了海冰和表面重力波之间的相互作用对海冰动力学的基本重要性。由于文献数量庞大、分散且快速增长,因此尚未达到完整性,但其目的是为未来的合作研究工作提供信息,以提高我们对MIZ海冰动态的理解和预测能力。本文是“边缘冰带动力学的理论、建模和观测:多学科观点和展望”主题问题的一部分。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Marginal ice zone dynamics: history, definitions and research perspectives.

Despite enormous scientific and technological progress in numerical weather and climate prediction, sea ice still remains unreliably predicted by models, both in short-term forecasting and climate projection applications. The total ice extent in both hemispheres is tied to the location of the ice edge, and consequently to what happens in the portion of the ice cover immediately adjacent to the open ocean that is called the marginal ice zone (MIZ). There is mounting evidence that processes occurring in the MIZ might play an important role in the polar climate of both hemispheres, yet some key physical processes are still missing in models. As sea ice models developed for climate studies are increasingly used for operational forecasting, the missing physics also impede short-term sea ice prediction skills. This paper is a mini-review that provides a historical perspective on how MIZ research has progressed since the 1970s, with a focus on the fundamental importance of the interactions between sea ice and surface gravity waves on sea ice dynamics. Completeness is not achieved, as the body of literature is huge, scattered and rapidly growing, but the intention is to inform future collaborative research efforts to improve our understanding and predictive capabilities of sea ice dynamics in the MIZ. This article is part of the theme issue 'Theory, modelling and observations of marginal ice zone dynamics: multidisciplinary perspectives and outlooks'.

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