孟加拉国的人口和社会安全预测。

Rural demography Pub Date : 1984-01-01

J A Beekman

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引用次数: 0

摘要

作者使用1981年人口普查数据、联合国资料以及其他官方和非官方资料，对孟加拉国的人口进行了预测。“已编制1986年和2001年孟加拉国人口的置信区间。通过马尔可夫链分析了人口的城乡转移，并揭示了向城市地区的重大再分配。一项研究提出了一项潜在的社会保障计划的精算成本，该计划旨在满足越来越多的城市居民的财务需求....1975年、2005年、2015年和2025年的总预计贡献和收益说明了可能的方案。”

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Population and social security projections for Bangladesh.

The author presents population projections for Bangladesh using data from the 1981 census, U.N. sources, and other official and nonofficial sources. "Confidence intervals for year 1986 and year 2001 populations for Bangladesh are developed. Rural-urban shifts in population are analyzed through Markov chains, and reveal a significant projected redistribution to urban areas. A study is presented of the actuarial cost of a potential social security program designed to meet the financial needs of an increasing set of urban dwellers.... Aggregate projected contributions and benefits for the years 1975, 2005, 2015, and 2025 illustrate the possible program."

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来源期刊

Rural demography

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