不确定性下的决策:基于区间的假设检验中评估实际相关性的统计框架。

IF 5 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, EXPERIMENTAL
Paul Riesthuis, Robert A Cribbie, Victoria Celio, Nataly Beribisky
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引用次数: 0

摘要

越来越多的心理学研究人员被鼓励超越狭隘地关注于发现与零不同的统计上显著的影响。为了更有意义地解释研究结果,最佳实践强调评估效果大小,以确定它是否具有实际意义或可忽略不计。这需要指定最小的效应大小,并进行基于区间的假设检验。虽然这些方法通过明确说明效应大小改进了当前的实践,但基于区间的假设检验可能产生不确定的结果,留下了影响是否实际相关或可忽略的不确定性。在本文中,我们首先解释了什么是基于区间的假设检验,并强调了不确定结果带来的挑战。然后,我们建议在附带的Web应用程序(https://paulriesthuis.github.io/SESOI-Decisions/)中实现一组补充工具,以支持在这种不确定性下更明智的决策,并帮助评估结果的实际相关性。这些工具旨在帮助研究人员得出更细微的统计和实际决策,并改进对基于区间的假设检验结果的解释。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Decisions under uncertainty: A statistical framework for evaluating practical relevance in interval-based hypothesis testing.

Psychological researchers are increasingly encouraged to move beyond a narrow focus on detecting statistically significant effects that differ from zero. To interpret findings more meaningfully, best practices emphasize evaluating effect magnitude to determine whether it is practically meaningful or negligible. This requires specifying a smallest effect size of interest and conducting interval-based hypothesis tests. Although these approaches improve current practice by explicitly accounting for effect sizes, interval-based hypothesis tests can yield inconclusive results, leaving uncertainty about whether an effect is practically relevant or negligible. In this article, we first explain what interval-based hypothesis testing is and highlight challenges posed by inconclusive outcomes. We then propose a set of complementary tools implemented in an accompanying Web application ( https://paulriesthuis.github.io/SESOI-Decisions/ ) to support more informed decision-making under such uncertainty and help assess the practical relevance of results. These tools aim to help researchers draw more nuanced statistical and practical decisions and improve the interpretation of results obtained from interval-based hypothesis testing.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.30
自引率
9.30%
发文量
266
期刊介绍: Behavior Research Methods publishes articles concerned with the methods, techniques, and instrumentation of research in experimental psychology. The journal focuses particularly on the use of computer technology in psychological research. An annual special issue is devoted to this field.
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