Chenxi Lyv, Haiyan Cui, Lele Wang, Dan Zhang, Keming Yun
{"title":"利用代谢物浓度比和基于毒性动力学数据的回归模型估计家兔氰化物摄入时间","authors":"Chenxi Lyv, Haiyan Cui, Lele Wang, Dan Zhang, Keming Yun","doi":"10.4103/jfsm.jfsm_249_25","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Background: Determining the time of cyanide exposure is critical in forensic and clinical practice. Aims and Objectives: This study characterized the toxicokinetics of cyanide (CN⁻) and its metabolites (2-amino-2-thiazoline-4-carboxylic acid [ATCA] and SCN⁻) following oral administration to develop mathematical models based on metabolite ratios for estimating the time since ingestion. Materials and Methods: An animal model was established using rabbits orally dosed with potassium cyanide. Serial blood samples were collected over 24 h, with concentrations of CN⁻, ATCA, and SCN ⁻ quantified through chromatographic techniques (gas chromatography-electron capture detector, liquid chromatography–tandem mass spectrometry, and ion chromatography). Pharmacokinetic parameters were derived using noncompartmental analysis based on statistical moment theory. Results: Cyanide demonstrated rapid absorption kinetics, achieving peak concentration (Cₘₐₓ =1.29 ng/μL) at 0.75 h postadministration. Metabolite formation showed distinct delays, with ATCA and SCN ⁻ reaching maximum levels at 3 h and 6 h, respectively. Elimination kinetics revealed SCN ⁻ had significantly prolonged clearance compared to ATCA. Regression models developed for metabolite ratios (ATCA/SCN⁻, ATCA/CN⁻, SCN⁻/CN⁻) all exhibited excellent correlation with time ( R ² >0.98). The ATCA/SCN ⁻ ratio model demonstrated particular utility, maintaining prediction accuracy within 20% of actual values throughout the 12-h postingestion period. Conclusions: This study successfully established the temporal patterns of cyanide metabolism and elimination. The developed ATCA/SCN ⁻ ratio model provides a validated approach for estimating cyanide exposure time, offering substantial practical value for forensic investigations and clinical toxicology applications.","PeriodicalId":36434,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forensic Science and Medicine","volume":"11 4","pages":"333-339"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Estimation of Cyanide Ingestion Time Using Metabolite Concentration Ratios and Regression Modeling Based on Toxicokinetic Data in Rabbits\",\"authors\":\"Chenxi Lyv, Haiyan Cui, Lele Wang, Dan Zhang, Keming Yun\",\"doi\":\"10.4103/jfsm.jfsm_249_25\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Background: Determining the time of cyanide exposure is critical in forensic and clinical practice. Aims and Objectives: This study characterized the toxicokinetics of cyanide (CN⁻) and its metabolites (2-amino-2-thiazoline-4-carboxylic acid [ATCA] and SCN⁻) following oral administration to develop mathematical models based on metabolite ratios for estimating the time since ingestion. Materials and Methods: An animal model was established using rabbits orally dosed with potassium cyanide. Serial blood samples were collected over 24 h, with concentrations of CN⁻, ATCA, and SCN ⁻ quantified through chromatographic techniques (gas chromatography-electron capture detector, liquid chromatography–tandem mass spectrometry, and ion chromatography). Pharmacokinetic parameters were derived using noncompartmental analysis based on statistical moment theory. Results: Cyanide demonstrated rapid absorption kinetics, achieving peak concentration (Cₘₐₓ =1.29 ng/μL) at 0.75 h postadministration. Metabolite formation showed distinct delays, with ATCA and SCN ⁻ reaching maximum levels at 3 h and 6 h, respectively. Elimination kinetics revealed SCN ⁻ had significantly prolonged clearance compared to ATCA. Regression models developed for metabolite ratios (ATCA/SCN⁻, ATCA/CN⁻, SCN⁻/CN⁻) all exhibited excellent correlation with time ( R ² >0.98). The ATCA/SCN ⁻ ratio model demonstrated particular utility, maintaining prediction accuracy within 20% of actual values throughout the 12-h postingestion period. Conclusions: This study successfully established the temporal patterns of cyanide metabolism and elimination. The developed ATCA/SCN ⁻ ratio model provides a validated approach for estimating cyanide exposure time, offering substantial practical value for forensic investigations and clinical toxicology applications.\",\"PeriodicalId\":36434,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Forensic Science and Medicine\",\"volume\":\"11 4\",\"pages\":\"333-339\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Forensic Science and Medicine\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"0\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.4103/jfsm.jfsm_249_25\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Social Sciences\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Forensic Science and Medicine","FirstCategoryId":"0","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4103/jfsm.jfsm_249_25","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Social Sciences","Score":null,"Total":0}
Estimation of Cyanide Ingestion Time Using Metabolite Concentration Ratios and Regression Modeling Based on Toxicokinetic Data in Rabbits
Background: Determining the time of cyanide exposure is critical in forensic and clinical practice. Aims and Objectives: This study characterized the toxicokinetics of cyanide (CN⁻) and its metabolites (2-amino-2-thiazoline-4-carboxylic acid [ATCA] and SCN⁻) following oral administration to develop mathematical models based on metabolite ratios for estimating the time since ingestion. Materials and Methods: An animal model was established using rabbits orally dosed with potassium cyanide. Serial blood samples were collected over 24 h, with concentrations of CN⁻, ATCA, and SCN ⁻ quantified through chromatographic techniques (gas chromatography-electron capture detector, liquid chromatography–tandem mass spectrometry, and ion chromatography). Pharmacokinetic parameters were derived using noncompartmental analysis based on statistical moment theory. Results: Cyanide demonstrated rapid absorption kinetics, achieving peak concentration (Cₘₐₓ =1.29 ng/μL) at 0.75 h postadministration. Metabolite formation showed distinct delays, with ATCA and SCN ⁻ reaching maximum levels at 3 h and 6 h, respectively. Elimination kinetics revealed SCN ⁻ had significantly prolonged clearance compared to ATCA. Regression models developed for metabolite ratios (ATCA/SCN⁻, ATCA/CN⁻, SCN⁻/CN⁻) all exhibited excellent correlation with time ( R ² >0.98). The ATCA/SCN ⁻ ratio model demonstrated particular utility, maintaining prediction accuracy within 20% of actual values throughout the 12-h postingestion period. Conclusions: This study successfully established the temporal patterns of cyanide metabolism and elimination. The developed ATCA/SCN ⁻ ratio model provides a validated approach for estimating cyanide exposure time, offering substantial practical value for forensic investigations and clinical toxicology applications.