{"title":"英国央行观察人士对伯南克评论的反应","authors":"David Aikman , Richard Barwell","doi":"10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.03.006","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We summarize reactions to the Bernanke Review from the Bank of England watchers community – a diverse group of academics, market economists, and business analysts who closely monitor and analyze the actions of the Bank of England. Key themes include the Review’s recommendations to retire the “fan chart”, increase the use of scenario analysis, and de-emphasize the central forecast conditioned on the market yield curve, as well as its critique of the Bank’s forecasting infrastructure. There is also extensive discussion of areas left unaddressed by the Review, including whether the Monetary Policy Committee should publish its preferred policy rate path, adopt a Fed-style dot plot, or give Bank staff ownership of the forecast.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14061,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Forecasting","volume":"42 1","pages":"Pages 3-12"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7000,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Reactions to the Bernanke Review from Bank of England watchers\",\"authors\":\"David Aikman , Richard Barwell\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijforecast.2025.03.006\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We summarize reactions to the Bernanke Review from the Bank of England watchers community – a diverse group of academics, market economists, and business analysts who closely monitor and analyze the actions of the Bank of England. Key themes include the Review’s recommendations to retire the “fan chart”, increase the use of scenario analysis, and de-emphasize the central forecast conditioned on the market yield curve, as well as its critique of the Bank’s forecasting infrastructure. There is also extensive discussion of areas left unaddressed by the Review, including whether the Monetary Policy Committee should publish its preferred policy rate path, adopt a Fed-style dot plot, or give Bank staff ownership of the forecast.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":14061,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Forecasting\",\"volume\":\"42 1\",\"pages\":\"Pages 3-12\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2026-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Forecasting\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207025000342\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2025/5/19 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"Epub\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Forecasting","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207025000342","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/5/19 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Reactions to the Bernanke Review from Bank of England watchers
We summarize reactions to the Bernanke Review from the Bank of England watchers community – a diverse group of academics, market economists, and business analysts who closely monitor and analyze the actions of the Bank of England. Key themes include the Review’s recommendations to retire the “fan chart”, increase the use of scenario analysis, and de-emphasize the central forecast conditioned on the market yield curve, as well as its critique of the Bank’s forecasting infrastructure. There is also extensive discussion of areas left unaddressed by the Review, including whether the Monetary Policy Committee should publish its preferred policy rate path, adopt a Fed-style dot plot, or give Bank staff ownership of the forecast.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Forecasting is a leading journal in its field that publishes high quality refereed papers. It aims to bridge the gap between theory and practice, making forecasting useful and relevant for decision and policy makers. The journal places strong emphasis on empirical studies, evaluation activities, implementation research, and improving the practice of forecasting. It welcomes various points of view and encourages debate to find solutions to field-related problems. The journal is the official publication of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) and is indexed in Sociological Abstracts, Journal of Economic Literature, Statistical Theory and Method Abstracts, INSPEC, Current Contents, UMI Data Courier, RePEc, Academic Journal Guide, CIS, IAOR, and Social Sciences Citation Index.