Francesco Piccialli,Sara Amitrano,Donato Cerciello,Anna Borrelli,Edoardo Prezioso,Marzia Canzaniello
{"title":"城市停车管理和交通预测的数字孪生框架。","authors":"Francesco Piccialli,Sara Amitrano,Donato Cerciello,Anna Borrelli,Edoardo Prezioso,Marzia Canzaniello","doi":"10.1038/s41467-025-65306-w","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Rapid urbanization and population growth have created significant challenges in urban mobility management, such as traffic congestion, inefficient public transportation, and environmental pollution. Here we present the development and implementation of a digital framework for urban parking management and mobility forecasting. The framework integrates a wide range of historical and real-time data, including parking meter transactions, revenue records, street occupancy rates, parking violations, and sensor-based parking slot utilization. Additionally, the data encompass weather conditions, temporal patterns (such as weekdays and peak hours), and agent shift schedules. Descriptive statistics are used to identify key patterns, while the Spatial-Temporal Identity model is used for the predictive phase, and the Conditional Variational Generative Adversarial Network is used for the generative phase of the digital twin. The algorithm allows forecasting parking demand and mapping data for spatial planning and resource allocation. Moreover, the integration of the Generative Artificial Intelligence model generates realistic what-if scenarios for virtual testing of mobility strategies before real-world implementation. The results highlight the framework's potential to enhance urban mobility management, especially by improving parking meter placement and reducing inefficiencies and improving accessibility. Validation on real-world data from the city of Caserta, confirms the robustness and adaptivity of the proposed framework, although expanding the dataset and refining specific components are necessary for fully realizing its potential and ensuring sustainable urban planning.","PeriodicalId":19066,"journal":{"name":"Nature Communications","volume":"45 1","pages":"9400"},"PeriodicalIF":15.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A digital twin framework for urban parking management and mobility forecasting.\",\"authors\":\"Francesco Piccialli,Sara Amitrano,Donato Cerciello,Anna Borrelli,Edoardo Prezioso,Marzia Canzaniello\",\"doi\":\"10.1038/s41467-025-65306-w\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Rapid urbanization and population growth have created significant challenges in urban mobility management, such as traffic congestion, inefficient public transportation, and environmental pollution. Here we present the development and implementation of a digital framework for urban parking management and mobility forecasting. The framework integrates a wide range of historical and real-time data, including parking meter transactions, revenue records, street occupancy rates, parking violations, and sensor-based parking slot utilization. Additionally, the data encompass weather conditions, temporal patterns (such as weekdays and peak hours), and agent shift schedules. Descriptive statistics are used to identify key patterns, while the Spatial-Temporal Identity model is used for the predictive phase, and the Conditional Variational Generative Adversarial Network is used for the generative phase of the digital twin. The algorithm allows forecasting parking demand and mapping data for spatial planning and resource allocation. Moreover, the integration of the Generative Artificial Intelligence model generates realistic what-if scenarios for virtual testing of mobility strategies before real-world implementation. The results highlight the framework's potential to enhance urban mobility management, especially by improving parking meter placement and reducing inefficiencies and improving accessibility. Validation on real-world data from the city of Caserta, confirms the robustness and adaptivity of the proposed framework, although expanding the dataset and refining specific components are necessary for fully realizing its potential and ensuring sustainable urban planning.\",\"PeriodicalId\":19066,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Nature Communications\",\"volume\":\"45 1\",\"pages\":\"9400\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":15.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-23\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Nature Communications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"103\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-65306-w\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"综合性期刊\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Nature Communications","FirstCategoryId":"103","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-65306-w","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
A digital twin framework for urban parking management and mobility forecasting.
Rapid urbanization and population growth have created significant challenges in urban mobility management, such as traffic congestion, inefficient public transportation, and environmental pollution. Here we present the development and implementation of a digital framework for urban parking management and mobility forecasting. The framework integrates a wide range of historical and real-time data, including parking meter transactions, revenue records, street occupancy rates, parking violations, and sensor-based parking slot utilization. Additionally, the data encompass weather conditions, temporal patterns (such as weekdays and peak hours), and agent shift schedules. Descriptive statistics are used to identify key patterns, while the Spatial-Temporal Identity model is used for the predictive phase, and the Conditional Variational Generative Adversarial Network is used for the generative phase of the digital twin. The algorithm allows forecasting parking demand and mapping data for spatial planning and resource allocation. Moreover, the integration of the Generative Artificial Intelligence model generates realistic what-if scenarios for virtual testing of mobility strategies before real-world implementation. The results highlight the framework's potential to enhance urban mobility management, especially by improving parking meter placement and reducing inefficiencies and improving accessibility. Validation on real-world data from the city of Caserta, confirms the robustness and adaptivity of the proposed framework, although expanding the dataset and refining specific components are necessary for fully realizing its potential and ensuring sustainable urban planning.
期刊介绍:
Nature Communications, an open-access journal, publishes high-quality research spanning all areas of the natural sciences. Papers featured in the journal showcase significant advances relevant to specialists in each respective field. With a 2-year impact factor of 16.6 (2022) and a median time of 8 days from submission to the first editorial decision, Nature Communications is committed to rapid dissemination of research findings. As a multidisciplinary journal, it welcomes contributions from biological, health, physical, chemical, Earth, social, mathematical, applied, and engineering sciences, aiming to highlight important breakthroughs within each domain.