城市停车管理和交通预测的数字孪生框架。

IF 15.7 1区 综合性期刊 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Francesco Piccialli,Sara Amitrano,Donato Cerciello,Anna Borrelli,Edoardo Prezioso,Marzia Canzaniello
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引用次数: 0

摘要

快速的城市化和人口增长给城市交通管理带来了重大挑战,如交通拥堵、低效的公共交通和环境污染。在这里,我们提出了一个用于城市停车管理和交通预测的数字框架的开发和实施。该框架集成了广泛的历史和实时数据,包括停车计价器交易、收入记录、街道占用率、违规停车和基于传感器的停车位利用率。此外,数据还包括天气条件、时间模式(如工作日和高峰时间)和代理轮班时间表。描述性统计用于识别关键模式,而时空身份模型用于预测阶段,条件变分生成对抗网络用于数字孪生的生成阶段。该算法可以预测停车需求,并为空间规划和资源分配提供地图数据。此外,生成式人工智能模型的集成在现实世界实施之前为移动策略的虚拟测试生成了现实的假设场景。研究结果强调了该框架在加强城市交通管理方面的潜力,特别是通过改善停车计时器的设置、减少低效率和改善可达性。对来自卡塞塔市的真实数据的验证证实了所提出框架的稳健性和适应性,尽管扩展数据集和改进特定组件对于充分发挥其潜力和确保可持续城市规划是必要的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A digital twin framework for urban parking management and mobility forecasting.
Rapid urbanization and population growth have created significant challenges in urban mobility management, such as traffic congestion, inefficient public transportation, and environmental pollution. Here we present the development and implementation of a digital framework for urban parking management and mobility forecasting. The framework integrates a wide range of historical and real-time data, including parking meter transactions, revenue records, street occupancy rates, parking violations, and sensor-based parking slot utilization. Additionally, the data encompass weather conditions, temporal patterns (such as weekdays and peak hours), and agent shift schedules. Descriptive statistics are used to identify key patterns, while the Spatial-Temporal Identity model is used for the predictive phase, and the Conditional Variational Generative Adversarial Network is used for the generative phase of the digital twin. The algorithm allows forecasting parking demand and mapping data for spatial planning and resource allocation. Moreover, the integration of the Generative Artificial Intelligence model generates realistic what-if scenarios for virtual testing of mobility strategies before real-world implementation. The results highlight the framework's potential to enhance urban mobility management, especially by improving parking meter placement and reducing inefficiencies and improving accessibility. Validation on real-world data from the city of Caserta, confirms the robustness and adaptivity of the proposed framework, although expanding the dataset and refining specific components are necessary for fully realizing its potential and ensuring sustainable urban planning.
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来源期刊
Nature Communications
Nature Communications Biological Science Disciplines-
CiteScore
24.90
自引率
2.40%
发文量
6928
审稿时长
3.7 months
期刊介绍: Nature Communications, an open-access journal, publishes high-quality research spanning all areas of the natural sciences. Papers featured in the journal showcase significant advances relevant to specialists in each respective field. With a 2-year impact factor of 16.6 (2022) and a median time of 8 days from submission to the first editorial decision, Nature Communications is committed to rapid dissemination of research findings. As a multidisciplinary journal, it welcomes contributions from biological, health, physical, chemical, Earth, social, mathematical, applied, and engineering sciences, aiming to highlight important breakthroughs within each domain.
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