Jiang-Cheng Li , Chen Tao , Yi-Zhen Xu , Guang-Yan Zhong
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Extreme volatility risk dynamic diffusion in financial market based on a new VEBN framework
Understanding how volatility risk spreads during financial crises is vital for market stability and effective risk management. We introduce the Volatility Entropy-based Network (VEBN), a new framework that quantifies volatility risk diffusion using weighted network statistics. Applying this method to the Chinese stock market, we reveal the asymmetry of risk diffusion across industries and explore the changes of risky industries under different types of extreme events. Notably, internal industry linkages drive risk transmission more strongly than external shocks, and extreme events intensify this effect while promoting inter-industry cooperation. These findings suggest that risk managers and regulators should focus on monitoring industry interconnections and adapt risk controls dynamically during periods of heightened volatility. Robustness checks with stochastic volatility and GARCH models confirm our results. Our work offers a novel quantitative tool for analyzing and mitigating systemic risk in complex financial networks.
期刊介绍:
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Recognized by the European Physical Society
Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications.
Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents.
Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.