基于新VEBN框架的金融市场极端波动风险动态扩散

IF 3.1 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Jiang-Cheng Li , Chen Tao , Yi-Zhen Xu , Guang-Yan Zhong
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引用次数: 0

摘要

了解金融危机期间波动风险如何扩散对市场稳定和有效的风险管理至关重要。引入基于波动熵的网络(VEBN),这是一种利用加权网络统计量化波动风险扩散的新框架。将此方法应用于中国股票市场,揭示了行业间风险扩散的不对称性,并探讨了不同类型极端事件下风险行业的变化。值得注意的是,行业内部联系对风险传导的驱动作用强于外部冲击,极端事件在促进行业间合作的同时强化了这种效应。这些发现表明,风险管理者和监管机构应注重监测行业相互联系,并在波动加剧期间动态调整风险控制。随机波动率和GARCH模型的稳健性检查证实了我们的结果。我们的工作为分析和减轻复杂金融网络中的系统性风险提供了一种新的定量工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Extreme volatility risk dynamic diffusion in financial market based on a new VEBN framework
Understanding how volatility risk spreads during financial crises is vital for market stability and effective risk management. We introduce the Volatility Entropy-based Network (VEBN), a new framework that quantifies volatility risk diffusion using weighted network statistics. Applying this method to the Chinese stock market, we reveal the asymmetry of risk diffusion across industries and explore the changes of risky industries under different types of extreme events. Notably, internal industry linkages drive risk transmission more strongly than external shocks, and extreme events intensify this effect while promoting inter-industry cooperation. These findings suggest that risk managers and regulators should focus on monitoring industry interconnections and adapt risk controls dynamically during periods of heightened volatility. Robustness checks with stochastic volatility and GARCH models confirm our results. Our work offers a novel quantitative tool for analyzing and mitigating systemic risk in complex financial networks.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
9.10%
发文量
852
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications Recognized by the European Physical Society Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications. Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents. Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.
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