{"title":"货币政策能否缓解COVID-19的冲击?基于实体经济和金融稳定的视角","authors":"Chenyang Ran , Hui An , Yue Li","doi":"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102967","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using data from 10 major economies between January 2020 and December 2021, we examine whether monetary policy mitigates pandemic-related shocks on the real economy and financial stability. The key findings: First, COVID-19 adversely affects economic growth, price stability, and full employment, but not the balance of payments and financial stability; Second, monetary policy only mitigates the COVID-19 negative shock on economic growth; Third, emerging economies experience more extensive shocks than developed economies, with conventional and unconventional monetary policy in both subsamples mitigating a few parts of pandemic's negative impacts; Fourth, COVID-19 affects the real economy and financial stability through demand contraction, supply shock, and expected weakening channels, while monetary policy works only through the demand contraction channel. These findings offer insights for central banks to use monetary policy tools in mitigating negative shocks from future public health emergencies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48074,"journal":{"name":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","volume":"94 ","pages":"Article 102967"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Can monetary policy mitigate the COVID-19 shocks? Based on the perspective of both the real economy and financial stability\",\"authors\":\"Chenyang Ran , Hui An , Yue Li\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.pacfin.2025.102967\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Using data from 10 major economies between January 2020 and December 2021, we examine whether monetary policy mitigates pandemic-related shocks on the real economy and financial stability. The key findings: First, COVID-19 adversely affects economic growth, price stability, and full employment, but not the balance of payments and financial stability; Second, monetary policy only mitigates the COVID-19 negative shock on economic growth; Third, emerging economies experience more extensive shocks than developed economies, with conventional and unconventional monetary policy in both subsamples mitigating a few parts of pandemic's negative impacts; Fourth, COVID-19 affects the real economy and financial stability through demand contraction, supply shock, and expected weakening channels, while monetary policy works only through the demand contraction channel. These findings offer insights for central banks to use monetary policy tools in mitigating negative shocks from future public health emergencies.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48074,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal\",\"volume\":\"94 \",\"pages\":\"Article 102967\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-12\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X2500304X\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Pacific-Basin Finance Journal","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X2500304X","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Can monetary policy mitigate the COVID-19 shocks? Based on the perspective of both the real economy and financial stability
Using data from 10 major economies between January 2020 and December 2021, we examine whether monetary policy mitigates pandemic-related shocks on the real economy and financial stability. The key findings: First, COVID-19 adversely affects economic growth, price stability, and full employment, but not the balance of payments and financial stability; Second, monetary policy only mitigates the COVID-19 negative shock on economic growth; Third, emerging economies experience more extensive shocks than developed economies, with conventional and unconventional monetary policy in both subsamples mitigating a few parts of pandemic's negative impacts; Fourth, COVID-19 affects the real economy and financial stability through demand contraction, supply shock, and expected weakening channels, while monetary policy works only through the demand contraction channel. These findings offer insights for central banks to use monetary policy tools in mitigating negative shocks from future public health emergencies.
期刊介绍:
The Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is aimed at providing a specialized forum for the publication of academic research on capital markets of the Asia-Pacific countries. Primary emphasis will be placed on the highest quality empirical and theoretical research in the following areas: • Market Micro-structure; • Investment and Portfolio Management; • Theories of Market Equilibrium; • Valuation of Financial and Real Assets; • Behavior of Asset Prices in Financial Sectors; • Normative Theory of Financial Management; • Capital Markets of Development; • Market Mechanisms.