Manar Maher Fayed, Donia A Abo Seada, Radwa M Elkhouly, Ahmed Abdel Raouf Hashem, Asmaa F Sharif
{"title":"从软骨到骨骼:超声检查在前臂骨年龄估计中的应用:一种新的评分系统方法。","authors":"Manar Maher Fayed, Donia A Abo Seada, Radwa M Elkhouly, Ahmed Abdel Raouf Hashem, Asmaa F Sharif","doi":"10.1007/s00414-025-03623-x","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Forensic age estimation is of critical legal importance. This study aimed to assess the utility of ultrasonography (US) as an alternative, safe, non-invasive technique that could replace other roentgenographic modalities in forensic age estimation. Epiphyseal maturation staging of the upper and lower ends of the radius and ulna using US was conducted for 155 Egyptian juveniles and adolescents, showing a mean age of 15.8 ± 3.7 years. Above the age of 17, all females demonstrated complete epiphyseal closure of the proximal bone ends, and above the age of 18, the distal end of ulna was completely united. All males demonstrated complete epiphyseal union of the proximal ulna above 17 years, the proximal radius above 18 years, and distal ulnas above 20 years. A proposed model. [Formula: see text] using a novel total score assessing epiphyseal maturation of all forearm bones could significantly explain 85.6% of age variations, with very low error, where the predicted age deviates from the real age by approximately 1.0 to 1.2 years. We observed a substantial to near-perfect agreement between the estimated and chronological age (coefficients>0.879). The overall score has the highest accuracy in predicting the ages of 15, 16, 17, and 18 years (p < 0.001). Females showed accelerated epiphyseal maturation compared to males, and the proximal forearm bones approached full maturation before the distal ends. Using the proposed novel score assessing the proximal and distal ends of the ulna and radius through US offers a simple and radiation-free approach that could predict age with precision.</p>","PeriodicalId":14071,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Legal Medicine","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"From cartilage to bone: the utility of ultrasonography in age estimation using forearm bones: a novel scoring system approach.\",\"authors\":\"Manar Maher Fayed, Donia A Abo Seada, Radwa M Elkhouly, Ahmed Abdel Raouf Hashem, Asmaa F Sharif\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s00414-025-03623-x\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Forensic age estimation is of critical legal importance. This study aimed to assess the utility of ultrasonography (US) as an alternative, safe, non-invasive technique that could replace other roentgenographic modalities in forensic age estimation. Epiphyseal maturation staging of the upper and lower ends of the radius and ulna using US was conducted for 155 Egyptian juveniles and adolescents, showing a mean age of 15.8 ± 3.7 years. Above the age of 17, all females demonstrated complete epiphyseal closure of the proximal bone ends, and above the age of 18, the distal end of ulna was completely united. All males demonstrated complete epiphyseal union of the proximal ulna above 17 years, the proximal radius above 18 years, and distal ulnas above 20 years. A proposed model. [Formula: see text] using a novel total score assessing epiphyseal maturation of all forearm bones could significantly explain 85.6% of age variations, with very low error, where the predicted age deviates from the real age by approximately 1.0 to 1.2 years. We observed a substantial to near-perfect agreement between the estimated and chronological age (coefficients>0.879). The overall score has the highest accuracy in predicting the ages of 15, 16, 17, and 18 years (p < 0.001). Females showed accelerated epiphyseal maturation compared to males, and the proximal forearm bones approached full maturation before the distal ends. Using the proposed novel score assessing the proximal and distal ends of the ulna and radius through US offers a simple and radiation-free approach that could predict age with precision.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":14071,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Legal Medicine\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Legal Medicine\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00414-025-03623-x\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"MEDICINE, LEGAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Legal Medicine","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00414-025-03623-x","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"MEDICINE, LEGAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
From cartilage to bone: the utility of ultrasonography in age estimation using forearm bones: a novel scoring system approach.
Forensic age estimation is of critical legal importance. This study aimed to assess the utility of ultrasonography (US) as an alternative, safe, non-invasive technique that could replace other roentgenographic modalities in forensic age estimation. Epiphyseal maturation staging of the upper and lower ends of the radius and ulna using US was conducted for 155 Egyptian juveniles and adolescents, showing a mean age of 15.8 ± 3.7 years. Above the age of 17, all females demonstrated complete epiphyseal closure of the proximal bone ends, and above the age of 18, the distal end of ulna was completely united. All males demonstrated complete epiphyseal union of the proximal ulna above 17 years, the proximal radius above 18 years, and distal ulnas above 20 years. A proposed model. [Formula: see text] using a novel total score assessing epiphyseal maturation of all forearm bones could significantly explain 85.6% of age variations, with very low error, where the predicted age deviates from the real age by approximately 1.0 to 1.2 years. We observed a substantial to near-perfect agreement between the estimated and chronological age (coefficients>0.879). The overall score has the highest accuracy in predicting the ages of 15, 16, 17, and 18 years (p < 0.001). Females showed accelerated epiphyseal maturation compared to males, and the proximal forearm bones approached full maturation before the distal ends. Using the proposed novel score assessing the proximal and distal ends of the ulna and radius through US offers a simple and radiation-free approach that could predict age with precision.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Legal Medicine aims to improve the scientific resources used in the elucidation of crime and related forensic applications at a high level of evidential proof. The journal offers review articles tracing development in specific areas, with up-to-date analysis; original articles discussing significant recent research results; case reports describing interesting and exceptional examples; population data; letters to the editors; and technical notes, which appear in a section originally created for rapid publication of data in the dynamic field of DNA analysis.