基于LSTM和流域水文数据的洪水水位预测

IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Hyun-il Kim, Se-Dong Jang, Hehun Choi, Tae-Hyung Kim, Byunghyun Kim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确的洪水水位预报对减轻台风或局地强降雨造成的洪水灾害至关重要。然而,由于河流环境和外部因素(如大坝或堰的运行)的变化,预测洪水水位是具有挑战性的。为了应对这些挑战,本研究提出了一种方法,利用基本水文信息构建输入数据的最佳组合,并通过深度学习模型实时预测洪水水位。该研究的重点是确定适合每个流域特征的最佳输入数据组合,同时考虑自然径流河流和受水坝排放影响的河流。采用长短期记忆(LSTM)模型,该模型在时间序列预测中具有优异的性能。结果表明,洪水水位预测具有较高的准确性,特别是在3小时的提前时间内。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Prediction of Flood Level Using LSTM and Watershed Hydrological Data

Prediction of Flood Level Using LSTM and Watershed Hydrological Data

Accurate flood level prediction is crucial for mitigating flood damage caused by typhoons or localized heavy rainfall. However, predicting flood levels is challenging due to changes in river environments and external factors, such as dam or weir operations. To address these challenges, this study proposes a methodology for constructing an optimal combination of input data using basic hydrological information and predicting flood levels in real time through a deep learning model. The study focuses on identifying the best input data combination tailored to each river basin's characteristics, considering both natural runoff rivers and those influenced by dam discharges. The Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, known for its superior performance in time-series forecasting, was employed. The results demonstrate high accuracy in flood level prediction, particularly within a 3-h lead time.

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来源期刊
Journal of Flood Risk Management
Journal of Flood Risk Management ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-WATER RESOURCES
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
7.30%
发文量
93
审稿时长
12 months
期刊介绍: Journal of Flood Risk Management provides an international platform for knowledge sharing in all areas related to flood risk. Its explicit aim is to disseminate ideas across the range of disciplines where flood related research is carried out and it provides content ranging from leading edge academic papers to applied content with the practitioner in mind. Readers and authors come from a wide background and include hydrologists, meteorologists, geographers, geomorphologists, conservationists, civil engineers, social scientists, policy makers, insurers and practitioners. They share an interest in managing the complex interactions between the many skills and disciplines that underpin the management of flood risk across the world.
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