Yang-Rong Mao , Huai-Long Shi , Huayi Chen , Yu-Lei Wan
{"title":"通过共享分析师覆盖率检测跨公司动量效应:领导者的角色","authors":"Yang-Rong Mao , Huai-Long Shi , Huayi Chen , Yu-Lei Wan","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2025.102237","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cross-firm momentum effects via shared analyst coverage are well-documented in developed markets, but their robustness remains unclear in emerging markets, where information diffusion is asymmetric and analyst coverage is highly concentrated. Our work revisits this effect in an environment of extreme informational frictions — the Chinese market. We reconstruct the information transmission channel within the analyst coverage network by introducing a novel weighting scheme based on strength centrality (<span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span>). This measure identifies influential leader firms that command disproportionate attention from both analysts and the market. Our results demonstrate that <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span>-weighted connected-firm returns robustly predict cross-sectional stock returns, yielding significant and persistent profits even under a rigorous stock filter. This performance cannot be subsumed by strategies based on alternative weighting schemes or by explanations such as intra-industry cross-firm momentum and information discreteness. Further analysis reveals that the superiority of the <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span>-based approach stems from its ability to effectively identify firms with stronger cross-period fundamental linkages. In addition, high-<span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span> stocks are characterized by higher investor attention, more efficient information processing, lower arbitrage costs, and greater international exposures. With this evidence, we further confirm a directional spillover: cross-firm momentum effects flow exclusively from these high-<span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span> leaders to low-<span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span> laggards, and there is no reverse spillover. Our findings suggest that cross-firm momentum may be systematically underestimated in many international markets due to methodological limitations rather than economic irrelevance. The <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span>-based framework therefore offers a portable tool for global investors and researchers operating in environments with asymmetric information.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"105 ","pages":"Article 102237"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Detecting cross-firm momentum effects via shared analyst coverage: The role of leaders\",\"authors\":\"Yang-Rong Mao , Huai-Long Shi , Huayi Chen , Yu-Lei Wan\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.intfin.2025.102237\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Cross-firm momentum effects via shared analyst coverage are well-documented in developed markets, but their robustness remains unclear in emerging markets, where information diffusion is asymmetric and analyst coverage is highly concentrated. Our work revisits this effect in an environment of extreme informational frictions — the Chinese market. We reconstruct the information transmission channel within the analyst coverage network by introducing a novel weighting scheme based on strength centrality (<span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span>). This measure identifies influential leader firms that command disproportionate attention from both analysts and the market. Our results demonstrate that <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span>-weighted connected-firm returns robustly predict cross-sectional stock returns, yielding significant and persistent profits even under a rigorous stock filter. This performance cannot be subsumed by strategies based on alternative weighting schemes or by explanations such as intra-industry cross-firm momentum and information discreteness. Further analysis reveals that the superiority of the <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span>-based approach stems from its ability to effectively identify firms with stronger cross-period fundamental linkages. In addition, high-<span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span> stocks are characterized by higher investor attention, more efficient information processing, lower arbitrage costs, and greater international exposures. With this evidence, we further confirm a directional spillover: cross-firm momentum effects flow exclusively from these high-<span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span> leaders to low-<span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span> laggards, and there is no reverse spillover. Our findings suggest that cross-firm momentum may be systematically underestimated in many international markets due to methodological limitations rather than economic irrelevance. The <span><math><mrow><mi>S</mi><mi>C</mi></mrow></math></span>-based framework therefore offers a portable tool for global investors and researchers operating in environments with asymmetric information.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48119,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money\",\"volume\":\"105 \",\"pages\":\"Article 102237\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443125001271\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1042443125001271","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Detecting cross-firm momentum effects via shared analyst coverage: The role of leaders
Cross-firm momentum effects via shared analyst coverage are well-documented in developed markets, but their robustness remains unclear in emerging markets, where information diffusion is asymmetric and analyst coverage is highly concentrated. Our work revisits this effect in an environment of extreme informational frictions — the Chinese market. We reconstruct the information transmission channel within the analyst coverage network by introducing a novel weighting scheme based on strength centrality (). This measure identifies influential leader firms that command disproportionate attention from both analysts and the market. Our results demonstrate that -weighted connected-firm returns robustly predict cross-sectional stock returns, yielding significant and persistent profits even under a rigorous stock filter. This performance cannot be subsumed by strategies based on alternative weighting schemes or by explanations such as intra-industry cross-firm momentum and information discreteness. Further analysis reveals that the superiority of the -based approach stems from its ability to effectively identify firms with stronger cross-period fundamental linkages. In addition, high- stocks are characterized by higher investor attention, more efficient information processing, lower arbitrage costs, and greater international exposures. With this evidence, we further confirm a directional spillover: cross-firm momentum effects flow exclusively from these high- leaders to low- laggards, and there is no reverse spillover. Our findings suggest that cross-firm momentum may be systematically underestimated in many international markets due to methodological limitations rather than economic irrelevance. The -based framework therefore offers a portable tool for global investors and researchers operating in environments with asymmetric information.
期刊介绍:
International trade, financing and investments, and the related cash and credit transactions, have grown at an extremely rapid pace in recent years. The international monetary system has continued to evolve to accommodate the need for foreign-currency denominated transactions and in the process has provided opportunities for its ongoing observation and study. The purpose of the Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money is to publish rigorous, original articles dealing with the international aspects of financial markets, institutions and money. Theoretical/conceptual and empirical papers providing meaningful insights into the subject areas will be considered. The following topic areas, although not exhaustive, are representative of the coverage in this Journal. • International financial markets • International securities markets • Foreign exchange markets • Eurocurrency markets • International syndications • Term structures of Eurocurrency rates • Determination of exchange rates • Information, speculation and parity • Forward rates and swaps • International payment mechanisms • International commercial banking; • International investment banking • Central bank intervention • International monetary systems • Balance of payments.