{"title":"基于太阳能光伏的清洁制氢设施的整体研究:经济和性能评估","authors":"Dogan Erdemir , Ibrahim Dincer","doi":"10.1016/j.tsep.2025.104174","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study presents a holistic technoeconomic analysis of solar photovoltaic-based green hydrogen production facilities, assessing hydrogen output potential and cost structures under various facility configurations. Four system cases are defined based on the inclusion of new photovoltaic (PV) panels and hydrogen storage (HS) subsystems, considering Southern Ontario solar data and a 30-year operational lifespan. Through a system level modeling, we incorporate the initial costs of sub-systems (PV panels, power conditioning devices, electrolyser, battery pack, and hydrogen storage), operating and maintenance expenses, and replacement costs to determine the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). The results of this study indicate that including hydrogen storage significantly impacts optimal electrolyser sizing, creating a production bottleneck around 400 kW for a 1 MWp PV system (yielding approximately 590 tons H<sub>2</sub> over a period of 30 years), whereas systems without storage achieve higher yields (about 1080 tons of H<sub>2</sub>) with larger electrolysers (approximately 620 kW). The lifetime cost analysis reveals that operating and maintenance cost constitutes the dominant expenditure (68–76 %). Including hydrogen storage increases the minimum LCOH and sharply penalizes electrolyser oversizing relative to storage capacity. For a 1 MWp base system, minimum LCOH ranged from approximately $3.50/kg (existing PV, no HS) to $6/kg (existing PV, with HS), $11–12/kg (new PV, no HS), and $22–25/kg (new PV, with HS). Leveraging existing PV infrastructure drastically reduces LCOH. Furthermore, significant economies of scale are observed with increasing PV facility capacity, potentially lowering LCOH below $2/kg at the 100 MWp scale. The study therefore underscores that there is a critical interplay between system configuration, component sizing, operating and maintenance management, and facility scale in determining the economic viability of solar hydrogen production.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23062,"journal":{"name":"Thermal Science and Engineering Progress","volume":"67 ","pages":"Article 104174"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A holistic study on solar photovoltaic-based cleaner hydrogen production facilities: Economic and performance assessments\",\"authors\":\"Dogan Erdemir , Ibrahim Dincer\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.tsep.2025.104174\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This study presents a holistic technoeconomic analysis of solar photovoltaic-based green hydrogen production facilities, assessing hydrogen output potential and cost structures under various facility configurations. Four system cases are defined based on the inclusion of new photovoltaic (PV) panels and hydrogen storage (HS) subsystems, considering Southern Ontario solar data and a 30-year operational lifespan. Through a system level modeling, we incorporate the initial costs of sub-systems (PV panels, power conditioning devices, electrolyser, battery pack, and hydrogen storage), operating and maintenance expenses, and replacement costs to determine the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). The results of this study indicate that including hydrogen storage significantly impacts optimal electrolyser sizing, creating a production bottleneck around 400 kW for a 1 MWp PV system (yielding approximately 590 tons H<sub>2</sub> over a period of 30 years), whereas systems without storage achieve higher yields (about 1080 tons of H<sub>2</sub>) with larger electrolysers (approximately 620 kW). The lifetime cost analysis reveals that operating and maintenance cost constitutes the dominant expenditure (68–76 %). Including hydrogen storage increases the minimum LCOH and sharply penalizes electrolyser oversizing relative to storage capacity. For a 1 MWp base system, minimum LCOH ranged from approximately $3.50/kg (existing PV, no HS) to $6/kg (existing PV, with HS), $11–12/kg (new PV, no HS), and $22–25/kg (new PV, with HS). Leveraging existing PV infrastructure drastically reduces LCOH. Furthermore, significant economies of scale are observed with increasing PV facility capacity, potentially lowering LCOH below $2/kg at the 100 MWp scale. The study therefore underscores that there is a critical interplay between system configuration, component sizing, operating and maintenance management, and facility scale in determining the economic viability of solar hydrogen production.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":23062,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Thermal Science and Engineering Progress\",\"volume\":\"67 \",\"pages\":\"Article 104174\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-05\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Thermal Science and Engineering Progress\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2451904925009655\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ENERGY & FUELS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Thermal Science and Engineering Progress","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2451904925009655","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A holistic study on solar photovoltaic-based cleaner hydrogen production facilities: Economic and performance assessments
This study presents a holistic technoeconomic analysis of solar photovoltaic-based green hydrogen production facilities, assessing hydrogen output potential and cost structures under various facility configurations. Four system cases are defined based on the inclusion of new photovoltaic (PV) panels and hydrogen storage (HS) subsystems, considering Southern Ontario solar data and a 30-year operational lifespan. Through a system level modeling, we incorporate the initial costs of sub-systems (PV panels, power conditioning devices, electrolyser, battery pack, and hydrogen storage), operating and maintenance expenses, and replacement costs to determine the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). The results of this study indicate that including hydrogen storage significantly impacts optimal electrolyser sizing, creating a production bottleneck around 400 kW for a 1 MWp PV system (yielding approximately 590 tons H2 over a period of 30 years), whereas systems without storage achieve higher yields (about 1080 tons of H2) with larger electrolysers (approximately 620 kW). The lifetime cost analysis reveals that operating and maintenance cost constitutes the dominant expenditure (68–76 %). Including hydrogen storage increases the minimum LCOH and sharply penalizes electrolyser oversizing relative to storage capacity. For a 1 MWp base system, minimum LCOH ranged from approximately $3.50/kg (existing PV, no HS) to $6/kg (existing PV, with HS), $11–12/kg (new PV, no HS), and $22–25/kg (new PV, with HS). Leveraging existing PV infrastructure drastically reduces LCOH. Furthermore, significant economies of scale are observed with increasing PV facility capacity, potentially lowering LCOH below $2/kg at the 100 MWp scale. The study therefore underscores that there is a critical interplay between system configuration, component sizing, operating and maintenance management, and facility scale in determining the economic viability of solar hydrogen production.
期刊介绍:
Thermal Science and Engineering Progress (TSEP) publishes original, high-quality research articles that span activities ranging from fundamental scientific research and discussion of the more controversial thermodynamic theories, to developments in thermal engineering that are in many instances examples of the way scientists and engineers are addressing the challenges facing a growing population – smart cities and global warming – maximising thermodynamic efficiencies and minimising all heat losses. It is intended that these will be of current relevance and interest to industry, academia and other practitioners. It is evident that many specialised journals in thermal and, to some extent, in fluid disciplines tend to focus on topics that can be classified as fundamental in nature, or are ‘applied’ and near-market. Thermal Science and Engineering Progress will bridge the gap between these two areas, allowing authors to make an easy choice, should they or a journal editor feel that their papers are ‘out of scope’ when considering other journals. The range of topics covered by Thermal Science and Engineering Progress addresses the rapid rate of development being made in thermal transfer processes as they affect traditional fields, and important growth in the topical research areas of aerospace, thermal biological and medical systems, electronics and nano-technologies, renewable energy systems, food production (including agriculture), and the need to minimise man-made thermal impacts on climate change. Review articles on appropriate topics for TSEP are encouraged, although until TSEP is fully established, these will be limited in number. Before submitting such articles, please contact one of the Editors, or a member of the Editorial Advisory Board with an outline of your proposal and your expertise in the area of your review.