{"title":"水动力模型对风暴、DEM和大坝配置的敏感性分析:利比亚德尔纳的布曼苏尔大坝盆地","authors":"Amr S. Samir , Samia Saad , Ashraf M. Elmoustafa","doi":"10.1016/j.asej.2025.103802","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change is affecting flood-vulnerable areas in the Mediterranean, highlighted by the 2023 collapse of Bu-Mansour Dam. This study used a 2D hydrodynamic model to estimate the effect of Daniel Storm’s spatiotemporal distribution on maximum pool water elevation behind Bu-Mansour Dam. The study assessed the model feasibility by comparing results to other literature. The study also evaluated how DEM accuracy, rainfall, and dam geometry influenced 2D model results. ALOS DEMs predicted higher overtopping depths than SRTM. Rainfall interpolation increased water levels, while storm temporal distribution affected peak flow but not maximum elevation. Mesh alignment caused elevation differences up to 7.4 m, emphasizing the role of precise model geometry. Discrepancies with prior overtopping estimates were found, suggesting data preprocessing flaws. The study concluded that 2D models are reliable with high-resolution data, though computationally demanding. Revealing the need for accurate hydraulic data and DEMs to ensure accurate dam safety assessment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48648,"journal":{"name":"Ain Shams Engineering Journal","volume":"16 12","pages":"Article 103802"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Sensitivity analysis of hydrodynamic models to storm, DEM, and dam configurations: the Bu Mansour Dam Basin in Derna, Libya\",\"authors\":\"Amr S. Samir , Samia Saad , Ashraf M. Elmoustafa\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.asej.2025.103802\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Climate change is affecting flood-vulnerable areas in the Mediterranean, highlighted by the 2023 collapse of Bu-Mansour Dam. This study used a 2D hydrodynamic model to estimate the effect of Daniel Storm’s spatiotemporal distribution on maximum pool water elevation behind Bu-Mansour Dam. The study assessed the model feasibility by comparing results to other literature. The study also evaluated how DEM accuracy, rainfall, and dam geometry influenced 2D model results. ALOS DEMs predicted higher overtopping depths than SRTM. Rainfall interpolation increased water levels, while storm temporal distribution affected peak flow but not maximum elevation. Mesh alignment caused elevation differences up to 7.4 m, emphasizing the role of precise model geometry. Discrepancies with prior overtopping estimates were found, suggesting data preprocessing flaws. The study concluded that 2D models are reliable with high-resolution data, though computationally demanding. Revealing the need for accurate hydraulic data and DEMs to ensure accurate dam safety assessment.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48648,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Ain Shams Engineering Journal\",\"volume\":\"16 12\",\"pages\":\"Article 103802\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Ain Shams Engineering Journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S209044792500543X\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Ain Shams Engineering Journal","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S209044792500543X","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Sensitivity analysis of hydrodynamic models to storm, DEM, and dam configurations: the Bu Mansour Dam Basin in Derna, Libya
Climate change is affecting flood-vulnerable areas in the Mediterranean, highlighted by the 2023 collapse of Bu-Mansour Dam. This study used a 2D hydrodynamic model to estimate the effect of Daniel Storm’s spatiotemporal distribution on maximum pool water elevation behind Bu-Mansour Dam. The study assessed the model feasibility by comparing results to other literature. The study also evaluated how DEM accuracy, rainfall, and dam geometry influenced 2D model results. ALOS DEMs predicted higher overtopping depths than SRTM. Rainfall interpolation increased water levels, while storm temporal distribution affected peak flow but not maximum elevation. Mesh alignment caused elevation differences up to 7.4 m, emphasizing the role of precise model geometry. Discrepancies with prior overtopping estimates were found, suggesting data preprocessing flaws. The study concluded that 2D models are reliable with high-resolution data, though computationally demanding. Revealing the need for accurate hydraulic data and DEMs to ensure accurate dam safety assessment.
期刊介绍:
in Shams Engineering Journal is an international journal devoted to publication of peer reviewed original high-quality research papers and review papers in both traditional topics and those of emerging science and technology. Areas of both theoretical and fundamental interest as well as those concerning industrial applications, emerging instrumental techniques and those which have some practical application to an aspect of human endeavor, such as the preservation of the environment, health, waste disposal are welcome. The overall focus is on original and rigorous scientific research results which have generic significance.
Ain Shams Engineering Journal focuses upon aspects of mechanical engineering, electrical engineering, civil engineering, chemical engineering, petroleum engineering, environmental engineering, architectural and urban planning engineering. Papers in which knowledge from other disciplines is integrated with engineering are especially welcome like nanotechnology, material sciences, and computational methods as well as applied basic sciences: engineering mathematics, physics and chemistry.