{"title":"基于道德风险和逆向选择的区块链相关保险合同建模","authors":"Tingyu Chen , Juan Wang , Song Wang , Chengyi Xia","doi":"10.1016/j.apm.2025.116483","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Information asymmetry has been a challenging topic in the field of game theory, leading to numerous real-world dilemmas. It is common for the principal to simultaneously consider the adverse selection and moral hazard under realistic scenarios in order to manage various agents against the backdrop of principal-agent relationships. Concurrently, advancements in technology, such as artificial intelligence, blockchain and smart contract systems, offer new solutions to these dilemmas. Therefore, this work constructs a comprehensive theoretical framework to solve the bi-directional information asymmetry of moral hazard and adverse selection by use of the basic insurance model, and then analyzes the effect of blockchain technology on the insurance efficiency. Aiming to address those issues induced by information asymmetry, such as low-risk agents bearing additional risk burdens and losses in the market, an improved model is further proposed on the basis of federated blockchain. In the basic model, insurance companies design partial insurance contracts to mitigate the incentives for high-risk agents to disguise their risk levels; however, low-risk agents still face the suboptimal risk exposure. Furthermore, case analyses in multi-agent scenarios demonstrate that the introduction of blockchain, along with the characteristics of smart contracts and distributed ledgers, reduces various costs and alleviates the moral hazard through dynamically adjusted premium incentive mechanisms. Theoretical results indicate that when the adoption rate of blockchain and the cost function meet specific conditions, agents are more inclined to adopt blockchain technology, thereby reducing information rents and optimizing risk distribution. In general, this research provides a potential framework for the application of blockchain technology into the insurance under complex information asymmetry environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50980,"journal":{"name":"Applied Mathematical Modelling","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 116483"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Modeling the blockchain-related insurance contracts with moral hazard and adverse selection\",\"authors\":\"Tingyu Chen , Juan Wang , Song Wang , Chengyi Xia\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.apm.2025.116483\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Information asymmetry has been a challenging topic in the field of game theory, leading to numerous real-world dilemmas. It is common for the principal to simultaneously consider the adverse selection and moral hazard under realistic scenarios in order to manage various agents against the backdrop of principal-agent relationships. Concurrently, advancements in technology, such as artificial intelligence, blockchain and smart contract systems, offer new solutions to these dilemmas. Therefore, this work constructs a comprehensive theoretical framework to solve the bi-directional information asymmetry of moral hazard and adverse selection by use of the basic insurance model, and then analyzes the effect of blockchain technology on the insurance efficiency. Aiming to address those issues induced by information asymmetry, such as low-risk agents bearing additional risk burdens and losses in the market, an improved model is further proposed on the basis of federated blockchain. In the basic model, insurance companies design partial insurance contracts to mitigate the incentives for high-risk agents to disguise their risk levels; however, low-risk agents still face the suboptimal risk exposure. Furthermore, case analyses in multi-agent scenarios demonstrate that the introduction of blockchain, along with the characteristics of smart contracts and distributed ledgers, reduces various costs and alleviates the moral hazard through dynamically adjusted premium incentive mechanisms. Theoretical results indicate that when the adoption rate of blockchain and the cost function meet specific conditions, agents are more inclined to adopt blockchain technology, thereby reducing information rents and optimizing risk distribution. In general, this research provides a potential framework for the application of blockchain technology into the insurance under complex information asymmetry environments.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50980,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Applied Mathematical Modelling\",\"volume\":\"150 \",\"pages\":\"Article 116483\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-04\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Applied Mathematical Modelling\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0307904X25005578\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Applied Mathematical Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0307904X25005578","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Modeling the blockchain-related insurance contracts with moral hazard and adverse selection
Information asymmetry has been a challenging topic in the field of game theory, leading to numerous real-world dilemmas. It is common for the principal to simultaneously consider the adverse selection and moral hazard under realistic scenarios in order to manage various agents against the backdrop of principal-agent relationships. Concurrently, advancements in technology, such as artificial intelligence, blockchain and smart contract systems, offer new solutions to these dilemmas. Therefore, this work constructs a comprehensive theoretical framework to solve the bi-directional information asymmetry of moral hazard and adverse selection by use of the basic insurance model, and then analyzes the effect of blockchain technology on the insurance efficiency. Aiming to address those issues induced by information asymmetry, such as low-risk agents bearing additional risk burdens and losses in the market, an improved model is further proposed on the basis of federated blockchain. In the basic model, insurance companies design partial insurance contracts to mitigate the incentives for high-risk agents to disguise their risk levels; however, low-risk agents still face the suboptimal risk exposure. Furthermore, case analyses in multi-agent scenarios demonstrate that the introduction of blockchain, along with the characteristics of smart contracts and distributed ledgers, reduces various costs and alleviates the moral hazard through dynamically adjusted premium incentive mechanisms. Theoretical results indicate that when the adoption rate of blockchain and the cost function meet specific conditions, agents are more inclined to adopt blockchain technology, thereby reducing information rents and optimizing risk distribution. In general, this research provides a potential framework for the application of blockchain technology into the insurance under complex information asymmetry environments.
期刊介绍:
Applied Mathematical Modelling focuses on research related to the mathematical modelling of engineering and environmental processes, manufacturing, and industrial systems. A significant emerging area of research activity involves multiphysics processes, and contributions in this area are particularly encouraged.
This influential publication covers a wide spectrum of subjects including heat transfer, fluid mechanics, CFD, and transport phenomena; solid mechanics and mechanics of metals; electromagnets and MHD; reliability modelling and system optimization; finite volume, finite element, and boundary element procedures; modelling of inventory, industrial, manufacturing and logistics systems for viable decision making; civil engineering systems and structures; mineral and energy resources; relevant software engineering issues associated with CAD and CAE; and materials and metallurgical engineering.
Applied Mathematical Modelling is primarily interested in papers developing increased insights into real-world problems through novel mathematical modelling, novel applications or a combination of these. Papers employing existing numerical techniques must demonstrate sufficient novelty in the solution of practical problems. Papers on fuzzy logic in decision-making or purely financial mathematics are normally not considered. Research on fractional differential equations, bifurcation, and numerical methods needs to include practical examples. Population dynamics must solve realistic scenarios. Papers in the area of logistics and business modelling should demonstrate meaningful managerial insight. Submissions with no real-world application will not be considered.