实验方法:了解自己在不同风险诱导方法下的风险偏好

IF 1.4 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Rocco Caferra , Andrea Morone , Donato Pierno
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文考察了风险偏好的变化是否反映了真正的行为转变,还是所使用的启发方法的结果。在一项受试者内部实验中,参与者首先做出有风险的选择,用真正的骰子完成24轮无偿学习,并记录结果,然后做出最终选择。我们比较了四种风险激发方法:两种有序彩票选择(OLS)和两种多重价格表(MPL)任务。我们的分析侧重于偏好如何随着经验而演变,报告错误在学习阶段的作用,以及方法复杂性(即给定彩票中潜在回报结果的数量)对揭示风险态度的影响。研究结果表明,MPL任务,尤其是复杂的任务,会产生更强烈的行为变化。在MPL学习阶段犯错误的参与者更有可能表现出增加的风险厌恶。这表明任务理解和认知负荷影响偏好的稳定性。这些发现有助于对偏好稳定性进行更广泛的辩论,并强调在同一实验框架内比较启发工具的方法相关性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Experimental methods: Learning your own risk preferences under different risk elicitation methods
This paper examines whether changes in risk preferences reflect genuine behavioural shifts or result from the elicitation method used. In a within-subject experiment, participants made initial risky choices, completed 24 unpaid learning rounds with real dice and recorded outcomes, and then made final choices. We compare four risk elicitation methods: two Ordered Lottery Selection (OLS) and two Multiple Price List (MPL) tasks. Our analysis focuses on how preferences evolve with experience, the role of reported errors during the learning phase, and the effect of method complexity (i.e., the number of potential payoff outcomes in a given lottery) on revealed risk attitudes. Results show that MPL tasks, particularly when more complex, produce stronger changes in behaviour. Participants who made errors during the MPL learning phase were more likely to display increased risk aversion. This suggests that task comprehension and cognitive load influence the stability of preferences. The findings contribute to the broader debate on preference stability and highlight the methodological relevance of comparing elicitation tools within the same experimental framework.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
12.50%
发文量
113
审稿时长
83 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly the Journal of Socio-Economics) welcomes submissions that deal with various economic topics but also involve issues that are related to other social sciences, especially psychology, or use experimental methods of inquiry. Thus, contributions in behavioral economics, experimental economics, economic psychology, and judgment and decision making are especially welcome. The journal is open to different research methodologies, as long as they are relevant to the topic and employed rigorously. Possible methodologies include, for example, experiments, surveys, empirical work, theoretical models, meta-analyses, case studies, and simulation-based analyses. Literature reviews that integrate findings from many studies are also welcome, but they should synthesize the literature in a useful manner and provide substantial contribution beyond what the reader could get by simply reading the abstracts of the cited papers. In empirical work, it is important that the results are not only statistically significant but also economically significant. A high contribution-to-length ratio is expected from published articles and therefore papers should not be unnecessarily long, and short articles are welcome. Articles should be written in a manner that is intelligible to our generalist readership. Book reviews are generally solicited but occasionally unsolicited reviews will also be published. Contact the Book Review Editor for related inquiries.
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