{"title":"人工智能在台风预报中的应用综述","authors":"Xinyuan Bi , Jinping Liu , Yihong Duan","doi":"10.1016/j.tcrr.2025.07.005","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As global climate warming intensifies, the frequency and intensity of typhoon (tropical cyclone) have become increasingly uncertain, posing significant challenges to human society. Traditional typhoon forecasting methods, while having made remarkable progress over the past few decades, still face numerous limitations in handling complex meteorological data and providing accurate predictions. In recent years, the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies has brought new opportunities to the field of typhoon forecasting and is revolutionizing typhoon forecasting by improving the accuracy of track and intensity predictions. This paper reviews the applications of AI models, particularly Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), in typhoon forecasting and analyzes the performance of AI models in 2024 by comparing them with traditional numerical models like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF, TC). A case study of Typhoon Gaemi demonstrates AI’s capabilities and limitations. The study highlights AI’s advantages, challenges, and future recommendations for enhancing typhoon prediction system.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":44442,"journal":{"name":"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review","volume":"14 3","pages":"Pages 230-236"},"PeriodicalIF":4.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Review of artificial intelligence application in typhoon forecasting\",\"authors\":\"Xinyuan Bi , Jinping Liu , Yihong Duan\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.tcrr.2025.07.005\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>As global climate warming intensifies, the frequency and intensity of typhoon (tropical cyclone) have become increasingly uncertain, posing significant challenges to human society. Traditional typhoon forecasting methods, while having made remarkable progress over the past few decades, still face numerous limitations in handling complex meteorological data and providing accurate predictions. In recent years, the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies has brought new opportunities to the field of typhoon forecasting and is revolutionizing typhoon forecasting by improving the accuracy of track and intensity predictions. This paper reviews the applications of AI models, particularly Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), in typhoon forecasting and analyzes the performance of AI models in 2024 by comparing them with traditional numerical models like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF, TC). A case study of Typhoon Gaemi demonstrates AI’s capabilities and limitations. The study highlights AI’s advantages, challenges, and future recommendations for enhancing typhoon prediction system.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":44442,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review\",\"volume\":\"14 3\",\"pages\":\"Pages 230-236\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603225000311\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Tropical Cyclone Research and Review","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603225000311","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
Review of artificial intelligence application in typhoon forecasting
As global climate warming intensifies, the frequency and intensity of typhoon (tropical cyclone) have become increasingly uncertain, posing significant challenges to human society. Traditional typhoon forecasting methods, while having made remarkable progress over the past few decades, still face numerous limitations in handling complex meteorological data and providing accurate predictions. In recent years, the rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies has brought new opportunities to the field of typhoon forecasting and is revolutionizing typhoon forecasting by improving the accuracy of track and intensity predictions. This paper reviews the applications of AI models, particularly Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), in typhoon forecasting and analyzes the performance of AI models in 2024 by comparing them with traditional numerical models like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF, TC). A case study of Typhoon Gaemi demonstrates AI’s capabilities and limitations. The study highlights AI’s advantages, challenges, and future recommendations for enhancing typhoon prediction system.
期刊介绍:
Tropical Cyclone Research and Review is an international journal focusing on tropical cyclone monitoring, forecasting, and research as well as associated hydrological effects and disaster risk reduction. This journal is edited and published by the ESCAP/WMO Typhoon Committee (TC) and the Shanghai Typhoon Institute of the China Meteorology Administration (STI/CMA). Contributions from all tropical cyclone basins are welcome.
Scope of the journal includes:
• Reviews of tropical cyclones exhibiting unusual characteristics or behavior or resulting in disastrous impacts on Typhoon Committee Members and other regional WMO bodies
• Advances in applied and basic tropical cyclone research or technology to improve tropical cyclone forecasts and warnings
• Basic theoretical studies of tropical cyclones
• Event reports, compelling images, and topic review reports of tropical cyclones
• Impacts, risk assessments, and risk management techniques related to tropical cyclones