{"title":"利用随机森林回归从S - ph和地震参数预测太阳磁活动","authors":"Ki-Beom Kim and Heon-Young Chang","doi":"10.3847/1538-4357/adfe6a","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We investigate the potential of using the photometric magnetic proxy Sph and seismic parameters, such as the frequency of maximum power ( ) and the large frequency separation (Δν), derived from Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Variability of Solar Irradiance and Gravity Oscillations observations to predict the 10.7 cm solar radio flux, a widely used index of solar magnetic activity. A random forest regression model is trained and tested on time series divided into multiple temporal subsets and input parameter combinations. The model achieves strong predictive performance (R2 > 0.92) across configurations and significantly outperforms a classical linear regression model. Our results show that Sph effectively captures long-term variations, while the seismic amplitude parameter is more responsive to short-term fluctuations. Combining Sph with the full set of seismic parameters yields the highest accuracy and offers a promising approach for diagnosing activity in other solar-like stars where direct magnetic field measurements are infeasible.","PeriodicalId":501813,"journal":{"name":"The Astrophysical Journal","volume":"34 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-10-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Predicting Solar Magnetic Activity from S ph and Seismic Parameters Using Random Forest Regression\",\"authors\":\"Ki-Beom Kim and Heon-Young Chang\",\"doi\":\"10.3847/1538-4357/adfe6a\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We investigate the potential of using the photometric magnetic proxy Sph and seismic parameters, such as the frequency of maximum power ( ) and the large frequency separation (Δν), derived from Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Variability of Solar Irradiance and Gravity Oscillations observations to predict the 10.7 cm solar radio flux, a widely used index of solar magnetic activity. A random forest regression model is trained and tested on time series divided into multiple temporal subsets and input parameter combinations. The model achieves strong predictive performance (R2 > 0.92) across configurations and significantly outperforms a classical linear regression model. Our results show that Sph effectively captures long-term variations, while the seismic amplitude parameter is more responsive to short-term fluctuations. Combining Sph with the full set of seismic parameters yields the highest accuracy and offers a promising approach for diagnosing activity in other solar-like stars where direct magnetic field measurements are infeasible.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501813,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"The Astrophysical Journal\",\"volume\":\"34 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-10-07\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"The Astrophysical Journal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/adfe6a\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"The Astrophysical Journal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/adfe6a","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Predicting Solar Magnetic Activity from S ph and Seismic Parameters Using Random Forest Regression
We investigate the potential of using the photometric magnetic proxy Sph and seismic parameters, such as the frequency of maximum power ( ) and the large frequency separation (Δν), derived from Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Variability of Solar Irradiance and Gravity Oscillations observations to predict the 10.7 cm solar radio flux, a widely used index of solar magnetic activity. A random forest regression model is trained and tested on time series divided into multiple temporal subsets and input parameter combinations. The model achieves strong predictive performance (R2 > 0.92) across configurations and significantly outperforms a classical linear regression model. Our results show that Sph effectively captures long-term variations, while the seismic amplitude parameter is more responsive to short-term fluctuations. Combining Sph with the full set of seismic parameters yields the highest accuracy and offers a promising approach for diagnosing activity in other solar-like stars where direct magnetic field measurements are infeasible.