{"title":"内河客运服务的最优票价模型","authors":"Ivan Serrano , Victor Cantillo , Ariel Arteta","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103820","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In many regions of the Global South, a significant portion of the population depends on inland waterway transport (IWT) to access remote areas. This study develops a microeconomic model to estimate socially optimal fares for passenger transport on IWT routes along Colombia's Magdalena River. Based on operational and demand data, the model identifies the most appropriate cost specification and demand structure, revealing that a linear demand function and a cost model with distance and capacity interactions best represent the system's dynamics. Socially optimal fares, calculated under welfare-maximising conditions, are consistently lower than current fares, which prioritize operator revenue over efficiency. Although optimal fares enhance accessibility and increase consumer surplus, they result in operational losses for providers, indicating the necessity of public subsidies or compensatory mechanisms. The model provides a replicable methodology for evaluating fare structures in similar contexts and offers clear policy implications for achieving equitable and efficient river transport systems.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103820"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Optimal fare model for inland waterway transport passengers' services\",\"authors\":\"Ivan Serrano , Victor Cantillo , Ariel Arteta\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103820\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>In many regions of the Global South, a significant portion of the population depends on inland waterway transport (IWT) to access remote areas. This study develops a microeconomic model to estimate socially optimal fares for passenger transport on IWT routes along Colombia's Magdalena River. Based on operational and demand data, the model identifies the most appropriate cost specification and demand structure, revealing that a linear demand function and a cost model with distance and capacity interactions best represent the system's dynamics. Socially optimal fares, calculated under welfare-maximising conditions, are consistently lower than current fares, which prioritize operator revenue over efficiency. Although optimal fares enhance accessibility and increase consumer surplus, they result in operational losses for providers, indicating the necessity of public subsidies or compensatory mechanisms. The model provides a replicable methodology for evaluating fare structures in similar contexts and offers clear policy implications for achieving equitable and efficient river transport systems.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48378,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Transport Policy\",\"volume\":\"174 \",\"pages\":\"Article 103820\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Transport Policy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X25003634\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transport Policy","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X25003634","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Optimal fare model for inland waterway transport passengers' services
In many regions of the Global South, a significant portion of the population depends on inland waterway transport (IWT) to access remote areas. This study develops a microeconomic model to estimate socially optimal fares for passenger transport on IWT routes along Colombia's Magdalena River. Based on operational and demand data, the model identifies the most appropriate cost specification and demand structure, revealing that a linear demand function and a cost model with distance and capacity interactions best represent the system's dynamics. Socially optimal fares, calculated under welfare-maximising conditions, are consistently lower than current fares, which prioritize operator revenue over efficiency. Although optimal fares enhance accessibility and increase consumer surplus, they result in operational losses for providers, indicating the necessity of public subsidies or compensatory mechanisms. The model provides a replicable methodology for evaluating fare structures in similar contexts and offers clear policy implications for achieving equitable and efficient river transport systems.
期刊介绍:
Transport Policy is an international journal aimed at bridging the gap between theory and practice in transport. Its subject areas reflect the concerns of policymakers in government, industry, voluntary organisations and the public at large, providing independent, original and rigorous analysis to understand how policy decisions have been taken, monitor their effects, and suggest how they may be improved. The journal treats the transport sector comprehensively, and in the context of other sectors including energy, housing, industry and planning. All modes are covered: land, sea and air; road and rail; public and private; motorised and non-motorised; passenger and freight.