{"title":"原油、绿色金融和有色金属市场的互联性和时频溢出效应:一个高矩分析","authors":"Hongli Niu, Yiming Ma","doi":"10.1016/j.jcomm.2025.100516","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the spillover effects of high moments, including volatility, skewness, and kurtosis, in the crude oil, green finance and non-ferrous metal markets in the time-frequency domain. We employ spillover methods by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and Baruník and Křehlík (2018), together with the GARCHSK higher-moment model, to analyze the interconnectedness among these markets. Our study reveals several key findings: Firstly, spillover effects diminish as higher-order moments are considered, with significant spillovers concentrated at lower frequencies. Secondly, spillovers exhibit time-varying characteristics, with heightened intensity during turbulent period. Thirdly, the net spillover roles of individual markets vary by frequency and moment type, indicating asymmetry in spillover effects. For example, lead and nickel act as primary net transmitters, except for volatility spillovers over short- and medium-term periods, while ESG market serves as a net transmitter, excluding skewness spillovers at lower frequencies. Lastly, constructing portfolios that include green financial assets or oil assets alongside non-ferrous metal assets can effectively reduce portfolio risk. This work offers valuable insights for investors aiming to build balanced portfolios and for regulators designing effective risk management strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45111,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Commodity Markets","volume":"40 ","pages":"Article 100516"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Interconnectedness and time-frequency spillover effects in crude oil, green finance and non-ferrous metal Markets: A high moments analysis\",\"authors\":\"Hongli Niu, Yiming Ma\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jcomm.2025.100516\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper investigates the spillover effects of high moments, including volatility, skewness, and kurtosis, in the crude oil, green finance and non-ferrous metal markets in the time-frequency domain. We employ spillover methods by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and Baruník and Křehlík (2018), together with the GARCHSK higher-moment model, to analyze the interconnectedness among these markets. Our study reveals several key findings: Firstly, spillover effects diminish as higher-order moments are considered, with significant spillovers concentrated at lower frequencies. Secondly, spillovers exhibit time-varying characteristics, with heightened intensity during turbulent period. Thirdly, the net spillover roles of individual markets vary by frequency and moment type, indicating asymmetry in spillover effects. For example, lead and nickel act as primary net transmitters, except for volatility spillovers over short- and medium-term periods, while ESG market serves as a net transmitter, excluding skewness spillovers at lower frequencies. Lastly, constructing portfolios that include green financial assets or oil assets alongside non-ferrous metal assets can effectively reduce portfolio risk. This work offers valuable insights for investors aiming to build balanced portfolios and for regulators designing effective risk management strategies.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":45111,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Commodity Markets\",\"volume\":\"40 \",\"pages\":\"Article 100516\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Commodity Markets\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405851325000601\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Commodity Markets","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405851325000601","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Interconnectedness and time-frequency spillover effects in crude oil, green finance and non-ferrous metal Markets: A high moments analysis
This paper investigates the spillover effects of high moments, including volatility, skewness, and kurtosis, in the crude oil, green finance and non-ferrous metal markets in the time-frequency domain. We employ spillover methods by Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and Baruník and Křehlík (2018), together with the GARCHSK higher-moment model, to analyze the interconnectedness among these markets. Our study reveals several key findings: Firstly, spillover effects diminish as higher-order moments are considered, with significant spillovers concentrated at lower frequencies. Secondly, spillovers exhibit time-varying characteristics, with heightened intensity during turbulent period. Thirdly, the net spillover roles of individual markets vary by frequency and moment type, indicating asymmetry in spillover effects. For example, lead and nickel act as primary net transmitters, except for volatility spillovers over short- and medium-term periods, while ESG market serves as a net transmitter, excluding skewness spillovers at lower frequencies. Lastly, constructing portfolios that include green financial assets or oil assets alongside non-ferrous metal assets can effectively reduce portfolio risk. This work offers valuable insights for investors aiming to build balanced portfolios and for regulators designing effective risk management strategies.
期刊介绍:
The purpose of the journal is also to stimulate international dialog among academics, industry participants, traders, investors, and policymakers with mutual interests in commodity markets. The mandate for the journal is to present ongoing work within commodity economics and finance. Topics can be related to financialization of commodity markets; pricing, hedging, and risk analysis of commodity derivatives; risk premia in commodity markets; real option analysis for commodity project investment and production; portfolio allocation including commodities; forecasting in commodity markets; corporate finance for commodity-exposed corporations; econometric/statistical analysis of commodity markets; organization of commodity markets; regulation of commodity markets; local and global commodity trading; and commodity supply chains. Commodity markets in this context are energy markets (including renewables), metal markets, mineral markets, agricultural markets, livestock and fish markets, markets for weather derivatives, emission markets, shipping markets, water, and related markets. This interdisciplinary and trans-disciplinary journal will cover all commodity markets and is thus relevant for a broad audience. Commodity markets are not only of academic interest but also highly relevant for many practitioners, including asset managers, industrial managers, investment bankers, risk managers, and also policymakers in governments, central banks, and supranational institutions.