长期护理保险政策与中国养老企业的发展

IF 5.5 1区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

中国经济评论 Pub Date : 2025-09-22 DOI:10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102564

Tianli Yang , Zhong Zhao

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文考察了长期护理保险政策对中国养老企业发展的影响。利用政策冲击和差异中的差异设计，我们发现LTCI政策的实施显著促进了养老企业的新入店数量和存活率，特别是个体企业、卫生和社会工作行业企业以及东部地区的企业。值得注意的是，纯服务LTCI政策对养老企业发展的影响要强于服务与现金福利相结合的政策。机制分析表明，LTCI刺激了市场对正规养老服务的需求，增加了政府在社会保障和医疗保健方面的支出，这两者都推动了养老企业的发展。我们还发现LTCI政策促进了养老行业的劳动力需求。总体而言，我们的实证研究结果表明，LTCI有助于解决长期护理服务的短缺问题，并提高家庭福利。

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Long-term care insurance policy and the development of elderly care enterprises in China

This paper examines the effect of Long-Term Care Insurance (LTCI) policy on the development of elderly care enterprises in China. Exploiting a policy shock and employing a difference-in-differences design, we find that the implementation of LTCI policy significantly promotes the number of new entries and survival rate of elderly care enterprises, particularly for individual businesses, enterprises in health and social work industry, and those located in eastern region. Notably, service-only LTCI policy exhibits a stronger effect on the development of elderly care enterprises than the policy combining service and cash benefits. Mechanism analysis suggests that LTCI stimulates market demand for formal care services and increases government expenditures on social security and healthcare, both of which drive the development of elderly care enterprises. We also find that LTCI policy boosts labor demand in the elderly care industry. Overall, our empirical findings suggest that LTCI can help address the shortage of long-term care services and enhance family welfare.

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来源期刊

中国经济评论 ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

10.60

自引率

4.40%

发文量

380

期刊介绍： The China Economic Review publishes original works of scholarship which add to the knowledge of the economy of China and to economies as a discipline. We seek, in particular, papers dealing with policy, performance and institutional change. Empirical papers normally use a formal model, a data set, and standard statistical techniques. Submissions are subjected to double-blind peer review.