近50年来全球夏季扩张的不均匀变化

IF 4.4 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Guanjie Jiao , Xiaochen Zhu , Xinyang Li , Xuan Dong , Dongsheng Li , Kaixuan He , Rangjian Qiu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化从根本上改变了全球季节模式,但由于季节定义的异质性,对这些变化进行量化仍然具有挑战性。本文利用第五代ECMWF大气再分析(ERA5),开发了1971 - 2021年的标准化5d基于温度的季节分类系统。我们的分析揭示了季节持续时间的明显再分配。具体而言,与1971年相比,2021年夏季全球网格面积扩大了3.2%,而春季、秋季和冬季分别减少了- 2.8%、- 12.1%和- 0.9%。中纬度地区夏季的延长是由于热过渡带(1971-2021年纬度1.1°)较早开始和较晚结束,以及向极地迁移。此外,暖侧边界的向极地迁移量化了半球不对称:0.22°N 10年−1比0.20°S 10年−1,即在北半球快10.3%,归因于其更大的陆地和热敏感性。该研究为理解全球季节动态提供了一个统一的框架,这对预测气候-生态系统相互作用至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The uneven change of global expanding summer over the past 50 years
Climate change has fundamentally altered global seasonal patterns, yet quantifying these shifts remains challenging due to heterogeneous definitions of seasons. Here, we develop a standardized 5d temperature-based classification system for seasons from 1971 to 2021 using the fifth-generation ECMWF atmospheric reanalysis (ERA5). Our analysis reveals a pronounced redistribution of seasonal durations. Specifically, summer expanded by 3.2 % grid globally, while spring, autumn, and winter decreased by −2.8 %, −12.1 %, and − 0.9 % in 2021, respectively, compared to 1971. The prolongation of summer in mid-latitude regions is due to an earlier onset and delayed termination, as well as the poleward migration of thermal transition zones (1.1° latitude over 1971–2021). Additionally, hemispheric asymmetry is quantified by the poleward migration of warm-side boundaries: 0.22°N decade−1 vs. 0.20°S decade−1, i.e., 10.3 % faster in the North Hemispheric, attributed to its greater landmass and thermal sensitivity. This study provides a unified framework for understanding global seasonal dynamics, which is critical for predicting climate-ecosystem interactions.
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来源期刊
Atmospheric Research
Atmospheric Research 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
10.90%
发文量
460
审稿时长
47 days
期刊介绍: The journal publishes scientific papers (research papers, review articles, letters and notes) dealing with the part of the atmosphere where meteorological events occur. Attention is given to all processes extending from the earth surface to the tropopause, but special emphasis continues to be devoted to the physics of clouds, mesoscale meteorology and air pollution, i.e. atmospheric aerosols; microphysical processes; cloud dynamics and thermodynamics; numerical simulation, climatology, climate change and weather modification.
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