大气中的河流催化融雪,并导致一连串的山体滑坡

IF 5.7 1区 农林科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Harun Aslan , Tolga Görüm , Deniz Bozkurt , Omer Lutfi Sen , Yasemin Ezber , Abdullah Akbas , Seckin Fidan , Luigi Lombardo , Hakan Tanyas
{"title":"大气中的河流催化融雪,并导致一连串的山体滑坡","authors":"Harun Aslan ,&nbsp;Tolga Görüm ,&nbsp;Deniz Bozkurt ,&nbsp;Omer Lutfi Sen ,&nbsp;Yasemin Ezber ,&nbsp;Abdullah Akbas ,&nbsp;Seckin Fidan ,&nbsp;Luigi Lombardo ,&nbsp;Hakan Tanyas","doi":"10.1016/j.catena.2025.109503","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Atmospheric rivers (ARs) significantly impact hydrometeorological conditions by transporting large amounts of heat and water vapor, often resulting in extreme weather events and geohazards such as landslides. While the role of ARs in producing extreme rainfall and related landslides is well established, their influence on landslides through temperature-driven snowmelt remains poorly understood. Here, we examine this mechanism using 330 recorded landslides from February to April 2022 across the North Anatolian Mountains (Türkiye). Our results demonstrate that ARs significantly contributed to snowmelt (up to 250 mm per event), stimulated by abrupt temperature increases (up to +6 °C) and rain-on-snow conditions, with rainfall and snowfall reaching up to 100 mm and 40 mm, respectively; all differences were statistically significant (p &lt; 0.01) when comparing AR and non-AR days. These processes shifted landslide activity to higher elevations and steeper slopes over time, with median values rising from 330 m to 549 m and 16° to 21°, respectively. The results highlight the compound effect of ARs on landslide initiation and suggest that warming-driven snowmelt can substantially contribute to slope destabilization. This study provides a framework for understanding AR-related landslide hazards in other midlatitude mountain regions, including the Pacific Rim, the Andes, High Mountain Asia, and the Alps. As climate change is projected to amplify the frequency, intensity, and spatial extent of ARs, the risk of AR-induced geohazards is therefore likely to intensify further in such mountainous regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":9801,"journal":{"name":"Catena","volume":"260 ","pages":"Article 109503"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Atmospheric rivers catalyze snowmelt and contribute to chains of landslides\",\"authors\":\"Harun Aslan ,&nbsp;Tolga Görüm ,&nbsp;Deniz Bozkurt ,&nbsp;Omer Lutfi Sen ,&nbsp;Yasemin Ezber ,&nbsp;Abdullah Akbas ,&nbsp;Seckin Fidan ,&nbsp;Luigi Lombardo ,&nbsp;Hakan Tanyas\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.catena.2025.109503\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Atmospheric rivers (ARs) significantly impact hydrometeorological conditions by transporting large amounts of heat and water vapor, often resulting in extreme weather events and geohazards such as landslides. While the role of ARs in producing extreme rainfall and related landslides is well established, their influence on landslides through temperature-driven snowmelt remains poorly understood. Here, we examine this mechanism using 330 recorded landslides from February to April 2022 across the North Anatolian Mountains (Türkiye). Our results demonstrate that ARs significantly contributed to snowmelt (up to 250 mm per event), stimulated by abrupt temperature increases (up to +6 °C) and rain-on-snow conditions, with rainfall and snowfall reaching up to 100 mm and 40 mm, respectively; all differences were statistically significant (p &lt; 0.01) when comparing AR and non-AR days. These processes shifted landslide activity to higher elevations and steeper slopes over time, with median values rising from 330 m to 549 m and 16° to 21°, respectively. The results highlight the compound effect of ARs on landslide initiation and suggest that warming-driven snowmelt can substantially contribute to slope destabilization. This study provides a framework for understanding AR-related landslide hazards in other midlatitude mountain regions, including the Pacific Rim, the Andes, High Mountain Asia, and the Alps. As climate change is projected to amplify the frequency, intensity, and spatial extent of ARs, the risk of AR-induced geohazards is therefore likely to intensify further in such mountainous regions.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":9801,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Catena\",\"volume\":\"260 \",\"pages\":\"Article 109503\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Catena\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"97\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0341816225008057\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"农林科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Catena","FirstCategoryId":"97","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0341816225008057","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

大气河流(ARs)通过输送大量热量和水汽对水文气象条件产生重大影响,经常导致极端天气事件和山体滑坡等地质灾害。虽然ARs在产生极端降雨和相关滑坡方面的作用已得到充分确认,但它们通过温度驱动的融雪对滑坡的影响仍知之甚少。在这里,我们使用2022年2月至4月在北安那托利亚山脉(t rkiye)记录的330次山体滑坡来研究这一机制。我们的研究结果表明,在温度急剧升高(高达+6°C)和雨雪条件下,ARs对融雪(每次高达250 mm)有显著贡献,降雨量和降雪量分别达到100 mm和40 mm;AR日与非AR日比较,差异均有统计学意义(p < 0.01)。随着时间的推移,这些过程将滑坡活动转移到更高海拔和更陡峭的斜坡上,中位数分别从330 m上升到549 m和16°上升到21°。研究结果表明,气候变暖导致的融雪对边坡失稳有重要作用。本研究为了解其他中纬度山区(包括环太平洋地区、安第斯山脉、亚洲高山和阿尔卑斯山)与ar相关的滑坡灾害提供了一个框架。由于气候变化预计会放大ar的频率、强度和空间范围,因此在这些山区,ar诱发地质灾害的风险可能会进一步加剧。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Atmospheric rivers catalyze snowmelt and contribute to chains of landslides
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) significantly impact hydrometeorological conditions by transporting large amounts of heat and water vapor, often resulting in extreme weather events and geohazards such as landslides. While the role of ARs in producing extreme rainfall and related landslides is well established, their influence on landslides through temperature-driven snowmelt remains poorly understood. Here, we examine this mechanism using 330 recorded landslides from February to April 2022 across the North Anatolian Mountains (Türkiye). Our results demonstrate that ARs significantly contributed to snowmelt (up to 250 mm per event), stimulated by abrupt temperature increases (up to +6 °C) and rain-on-snow conditions, with rainfall and snowfall reaching up to 100 mm and 40 mm, respectively; all differences were statistically significant (p < 0.01) when comparing AR and non-AR days. These processes shifted landslide activity to higher elevations and steeper slopes over time, with median values rising from 330 m to 549 m and 16° to 21°, respectively. The results highlight the compound effect of ARs on landslide initiation and suggest that warming-driven snowmelt can substantially contribute to slope destabilization. This study provides a framework for understanding AR-related landslide hazards in other midlatitude mountain regions, including the Pacific Rim, the Andes, High Mountain Asia, and the Alps. As climate change is projected to amplify the frequency, intensity, and spatial extent of ARs, the risk of AR-induced geohazards is therefore likely to intensify further in such mountainous regions.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Catena
Catena 环境科学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
10.50
自引率
9.70%
发文量
816
审稿时长
54 days
期刊介绍: Catena publishes papers describing original field and laboratory investigations and reviews on geoecology and landscape evolution with emphasis on interdisciplinary aspects of soil science, hydrology and geomorphology. It aims to disseminate new knowledge and foster better understanding of the physical environment, of evolutionary sequences that have resulted in past and current landscapes, and of the natural processes that are likely to determine the fate of our terrestrial environment. Papers within any one of the above topics are welcome provided they are of sufficiently wide interest and relevance.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信