在切尔诺贝利事故发生几十年后,应用决策支持系统对农村居民点进行有针对性的修复。

IF 1.8 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Alexey Panov, Rena Mikailova, Victor Krechetnikov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了针对俄罗斯布良斯克地区西南5个区71个受切尔诺贝利事故影响的农村居民点的针对性整治体系。审议了减少农村住区居民辐射剂量的最有效技术。通过评估当前的辐射水平、人口状况和经济土地利用,同时优化使用七种技术,制定了补救策略。这一过程依赖于计算机地理信息系统的决策支持,特别是ReSCA和GIDSS。提出了恢复农村住区的两种方法,侧重于经济成本或社会可接受性。对于每个定居点,我们通过考虑放射性指标、相关成本和所涉及技术的社会可接受性,确定了最有效的有针对性的补救措施。实施补救技术以减少人口辐射暴露的估计成本在1230万欧元至1330万欧元之间。实施的修复策略可使人口集体辐射剂量减少79-88人西沃特,平均成本为15.1 - 15.6万欧元/人西沃特。在过去的15-20年间,与定居点修复相关的费用增加了4.7倍,而居民集体辐射暴露的潜在节省减少了35%。研究表明,最有效的策略包括利用二茂铁饲养牲畜和改善居住地区的草地表面。由于实施成本高,与21世纪初相比,彻底改善干草和牧场的放射性和经济效率急剧下降。在16个住区,使用所有有效的补救技术不会使人口的总辐射剂量降低到1毫西弗/a以下。同时,最脆弱住区居民所受总辐射剂量的减少系数预计在1.7至2.2倍之间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of decision support systems to deliver targeted remediation of rural settlements several decades after the Chernobyl accident.

The article presents a targeted remediation system for 71 rural settlements in five southwestern districts of the Bryansk region, Russia, affected by the Chernobyl accident. The most effective technologies for reducing radiation doses for residents of rural settlements are considered. Remediation strategies have been developed by assessing the current radiation levels, demographic conditions, and economic land use, while optimizing the use of seven technologies. This process relies on computer geographic information systems for decision support, specifically ReSCA and GIDSS. Two approaches to restoring rural settlements are presented, focusing on either economic costs or social acceptability. For each settlement, we identified the most effective targeted remediation measures by considering radiological indicators, associated costs, and the social acceptability of the technologies involved. The estimated cost of implementing remediation technologies to reduce radiation exposure of the population is between €12.3 million and €13.3 million. The implemented remediation strategies could reduce the collective radiation dose to the population by 79-88 man-Sv, with an average cost of 151-156 thousand €/man-Sv. Over the last 15-20 years, the expenses associated with settlement remediation have surged by 4.7 times, while the potential savings in collective radiation exposure for residents have decreased by 35%. Research indicates that the most impactful strategies involve utilizing ferrocene for livestock and the surface improvement of grassland in inhabited areas. The radiological and economic efficiency of the radical improvement of hayfields and pastures has sharply decreased compared to the early 2000s due to high costs of its implementation. In 16 settlements, using all effective remediation technologies will not decrease the population's total radiation dose below 1 mSv/a. At the same time, the reduction factor for the total radiation dose experienced by residents in the most vulnerable settlements is expected to range from 1.7 to 2.2 times.

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来源期刊
Journal of Radiological Protection
Journal of Radiological Protection 环境科学-公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
CiteScore
2.60
自引率
26.70%
发文量
137
审稿时长
18-36 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Radiological Protection publishes articles on all aspects of radiological protection, including non-ionising as well as ionising radiations. Fields of interest range from research, development and theory to operational matters, education and training. The very wide spectrum of its topics includes: dosimetry, instrument development, specialized measuring techniques, epidemiology, biological effects (in vivo and in vitro) and risk and environmental impact assessments. The journal encourages publication of data and code as well as results.
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