全球、区域和国家儿童脑和中枢神经系统癌症负担:基于全球疾病负担研究的分析。

IF 3.5 Q1 TROPICAL MEDICINE
Zhenjin Su, Jie Lu, Yuheng Shi, Tian Li, Bin Qi, Zeshang Guo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:我们评估了1990-2021年(最近一年)全球、地区和国家儿童脑和中枢神经系统癌症负担。方法:我们利用2021年全球疾病负担研究的数据,通过关节点回归分析儿童脑和中枢神经系统癌症的趋势。我们从不同的角度评估了儿童脑和中枢神经系统癌症的全球负担。最后,采用贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列模型预测到2030年的未来趋势。结果:儿童脑癌和中枢神经系统癌是最常见的实体肿瘤,也是儿童死亡的主要原因。从1990年到2021年,年龄标准化发病率、患病率、死亡率和DALYs下降。男孩的发病率略高于女孩,在0-4岁时达到高峰,随着年龄的增长而下降。疾病负担与社会人口指数相关,在社会人口指数较高的地区,疾病负担较高。未来的预测表明,发病率、患病率、死亡率和伤残调整生命年将继续下降。结论:虽然由于医学进步,全球儿童脑癌和中枢神经系统癌的负担显著减少,但儿童癌症仍然是儿童死亡的主要原因。进一步优化全球卫生资源对于减轻这一负担至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Global, regional, and national childhood brain and central nervous system cancer burden: an analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Global, regional, and national childhood brain and central nervous system cancer burden: an analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Global, regional, and national childhood brain and central nervous system cancer burden: an analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Global, regional, and national childhood brain and central nervous system cancer burden: an analysis based on the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Objectives: We assessed the global, regional, and national burdens of childhood brain and central nervous system cancer from 1990-2021 (the latest year).

Methods: We utilized data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study and analyzed trends in childhood brain and central nervous system cancers through joinpoint regression. We assessed the global burden of childhood brain and central nervous system cancers from various perspectives. Finally, the Bayesian age‒period‒cohort model was employed to forecast future trends through 2030.

Results: Childhood brain and CNS cancers are the most common solid tumors and the leading cause of death in children. From 1990 to 2021, the age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs decreased. The incidence is slightly greater in boys than in girls and peaks at 0-4 years of age, decreasing with age. The disease burden correlates with sociodemographic indices, with higher burdens observed in regions with higher sociodemographic indices. Future projections indicate a continued decline in incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs.

Conclusions: While the global burden of childhood brain and CNS cancer has significantly decreased due to medical advancements, childhood cancer continues to be a major cause of childhood mortality. Further optimization of global health resources is crucial for alleviating this burden.

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来源期刊
Tropical Medicine and Health
Tropical Medicine and Health TROPICAL MEDICINE-
CiteScore
7.00
自引率
2.20%
发文量
90
审稿时长
11 weeks
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