基于新型深度高效bilstmnet的电动汽车充电站负荷预测与可再生能源集成

IF 4.8 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC
Vineet Dhanawat;Varun Shinde;Rachid Alami;Adnan Akhunzada;Zaid Bin Faheem;Anjanava Biswas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

电动汽车(ev)的采用呈指数增长,对电网的稳定性提出了重大问题。因此,准确预测电动汽车充电站的需求是解决这一问题的关键。为了改进预测和识别CS负荷变量,现有的研究都是基于负荷分析,这对于商业电动汽车充电站来说可能很难获得。本文提出了一种高效的深层BiLSTMNet模型来解决和缓解这些问题。分析了加州四个充电站的能源消耗和储存情况。为了保证准确性和一致性,对数据进行预处理,处理缺失值并保证一致性。混合特征选择技术将Boruta算法与SHapley加性解释(SHapley Additive exPlanations)值相结合,保证了特征选择的鲁棒性。高效bilstmnet模型集成了高效层和BiLSTM层,在预处理数据集上进行训练。模型的超参数使用增强型萤火虫算法(EFA)进行优化。该模型执行时间序列分析,以确定电动汽车充电需求的每日、每周、每月和季节性模式。将可再生能源(特别是太阳能和风能)整合到电动汽车充电基础设施中,不仅作为输入特征,而且作为影响各站点充电需求稳定性的关键因素,在本研究中进行了深入研究。利用它们的时间模式和环境依赖性来提高预测准确性,并确保跨充电站的电网感知需求管理。使用r平方、平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方根误差(RMSE)等指标来评估所提出模型的性能。仿真结果表明了该模型的有效性,4个站点的平均r平方值为0.9,MAE为2.15 kW, RMSE为2.75 kW。与传统模型相比,高效bilstmnet模型显示出更高的预测精度,突出了综合特征选择和工程在预测电动汽车充电需求中的重要性。该研究为预测电动汽车充电需求、整合可再生能源以提高电网的稳定性和可持续性提供了一个强大的框架。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electric Vehicles Charging Station Load Forecasting Integration With Renewable Energy Using Novel Deep EfficientBiLSTMNet
The exponential increase in the adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs) presents significant problems to the stability of the power grid. Therefore, it is crucial to accurately anticipate the demand for EV Charging Station (CS) to address this issue. To improve forecasts and identify CS load variables, existing studies are based on load profiling, which may be difficult to obtain for commercial EV charging stations. This paper proposes an efficient deep BiLSTMNet model to solve and mitigate these problems. Energy consumption and storage at four charging stations in California are analyzed. To guarantee accuracy and uniformity, the data is preprocessed by addressing missing values and ensuring consistency. A hybrid feature selection technique integrates the Boruta algorithm and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values to ensure robust feature selection. The EfficientBiLSTMNet model, which integrates the EfficientNet and BiLSTM layers, is trained on the preprocessed datasets. The model's hyperparameters are optimized using an Enhanced Firefly Algorithm (EFA). The model performs a time series analysis to identify daily, weekly, monthly, and seasonal patterns in EV charging demand. The integration of renewable energy sources—specifically solar and wind generation—into the EV charging infrastructure is thoroughly examined in this study, not merely as input features but as key factors influencing the stability of charging demand at various stations. Their temporal patterns and environmental dependencies are leveraged to enhance forecasting accuracy and ensure grid-aware demand management across charging stations. The proposed model's performance is evaluated using metrics such as R-squared, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed model, with an average R-squared value of 0.9, MAE of 2.15 kW, and RMSE of 2.75 kW across the four stations. The EfficientBiLSTMNet model shows superior predictive accuracy compared to traditional models, highlighting the importance of comprehensive feature selection and engineering in forecasting EV charging demand. This study provides a robust framework for predicting EV charging demand, integrating renewable energy sources to enhance the stability and sustainability of the power grid amidst the increasing penetration of EVs.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
0.00%
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25
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10 weeks
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