Modeling the Wildlife-Livestock Interface of Cattle Fever Ticks in the Southern United States.

Cattle fever ticks, Rhipicephalus microplus and Rhipicephalus annulatus, transmit Babesia pathogens, the causative agents of cattle fever worldwide. Although eradicated from the United States, increasing incursions of cattle fever ticks in Texas have put considerable strain on the Cattle Fever Tick Eradication Program (CFTEP). The movement of ticks between wildlife and cattle along the Texas-Mexico border complicates control efforts. Here, we used habitat suitability models, the literature, and quantitative survey data to project the distributions of native and introduced ungulates in Texas. Specifically, we used habitat suitability models and downscaling to estimate potential overlap between cattle and free-ranging white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus) and nilgai (Boselaphus tragocamelus) that may carry cattle fever ticks and generate maps of estimated tick exposure risk. Our findings suggest that the introduction and spread of exotic ungulates, such as the nilgai antelope, may facilitate the expansion of cattle fever ticks within and beyond the historical quarantine zone established in 1943. The increasing range of nilgai populations could enhance landscape connectivity for cattle fever ticks in sensitive areas along the Texas-Mexico border. By combining these models with cattle inventory data, we provide tools to help the CFTEP better allocate resources, monitor tick populations, prevent incursions, and implement early interventions.