青少年和年轻人间质性肺病和肺结节病的全球疾病负担(1990-2019),以及未来30年的预测

IF 3.4 3区 医学 Q2 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL
Xiaoshuang He, Lu Wang, Yu Zhao, Yuanyuan Qu, Wenyan Xin, Lina Xu, Wanyu Li, Chao Wu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:间质性肺疾病(ILD)和肺结节病是常见的呼吸系统疾病,诊断困难,治疗费用昂贵。15-39岁的青少年和青壮年(AYAs)尽管具有独特的流行病学和社会影响,但在全球负担估计中经常被忽视。目前缺乏全面的全球负担估计。为了解决这一差距,我们分析了2019年全球疾病负担研究(GBD)的结果,重点关注残疾调整生命年(DALYs)。方法:使用GBD 2019数据集,我们计算了1990年至2019年不同因素(包括性别、社会人口指数(SDI)和地理区域)的年龄标准化发病率、死亡率和DALYs及其平均年百分比变化。分解分析探讨了人口增长、年龄结构变化和流行病学变化对全球以及不同SDI和GBD地区青少年间质性肺病发病率、DALYs和死亡率的影响,并使用贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列(BAPC)预测了2020年至2049年青少年和年轻人间质性肺病和肺结节病的趋势。结果:2019年,AYAs有260万例ILD和肺结节病,其中3428例死亡归因于这些疾病。1990年至2019年期间,年龄标准化发病率和DALY率显著增加。女性的发病率高于男性。标准化DALY率在高和中高SDI国家下降,但在低、中低和低SDI国家上升。主要原因是人口增长,显著影响了SDI较低五分位数的地区。BAPC模型预测,从2020年到2049年,青少年和年轻人的肺间质性疾病和肺结节病负担将逐渐增加。结论:本研究提供了AYAs中ILD和肺结节病负担的最新流行病学数据。这些发现强调了采取有针对性的控制措施以减轻这一年龄组负担的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Global Burden of Disease of interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis in adolescents and young adults (1990-2019), and projections for the next 30 years.

Background: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) and pulmonary sarcoidosis are common respiratory diseases that are difficult to diagnose and costly to treat. Adolescents and young adults (AYAs) aged 15-39 years are frequently overlooked in global burden estimates despite their unique epidemiological and societal implications. Comprehensive global burden estimates are lacking. To address this gap, we analysed the results of the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019, focusing on Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs).

Methods: Using the GBD 2019 dataset, we calculated age-standardised rate of incidence, mortality, and DALYs and their average annual percentage change from 1990 to 2019 across various factors, including sex, socio-demographic index (SDI), and geographic region. Decomposition analyses explored the impacts of population growth, changing age structures, and epidemiological changes on ILD incidence, DALYs, and mortality in AYAs globally and across different SDI and GBD regions.interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis among adolescents and young adults trends from 2020 to 2049 were predicted using Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC).

Results: In 2019, there were 2.6 million cases of ILD and pulmonary sarcoidosis in AYAs, and 3,428 deaths were attributed to these diseases. Age-standardised incidence and DALY rates significantly increased between 1990 and 2019. Females experienced higher rates than males. Standardised DALY rates decreased in high and middle-high SDI countries but increased in low, middle-low, and low-SDI countries. The primary reason was population growth, significantly impacting areas in the lower SDI quintiles.The BAPC model projected a gradual increase in the interstitial lung disease and pulmonary sarcoidosis in adolescents and young adults burden from 2020 to 2049.

Conclusions: This study provides recent epidemiological data on the burden of ILD and pulmonary sarcoidosis in AYAs. These findings highlight the importance of targeted control measures to reduce the burden in this age group.

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来源期刊
European Journal of Medical Research
European Journal of Medical Research 医学-医学:研究与实验
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
247
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: European Journal of Medical Research publishes translational and clinical research of international interest across all medical disciplines, enabling clinicians and other researchers to learn about developments and innovations within these disciplines and across the boundaries between disciplines. The journal publishes high quality research and reviews and aims to ensure that the results of all well-conducted research are published, regardless of their outcome.
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