探索长三角地区的PM2.5和O3差异及协同效应管理,包括自然和社会环境驱动因素

IF 2.9 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Fanmei Zeng, Chu Ren, Weiqing Wang, Liguo Zhou, Xiaoyan Dai, Weichun Ma
{"title":"探索长三角地区的PM2.5和O3差异及协同效应管理,包括自然和社会环境驱动因素","authors":"Fanmei Zeng,&nbsp;Chu Ren,&nbsp;Weiqing Wang,&nbsp;Liguo Zhou,&nbsp;Xiaoyan Dai,&nbsp;Weichun Ma","doi":"10.1007/s11869-025-01728-1","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Identifying the main factors influencing PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations is crucial for effective pollution control in urban areas. By combining optimal parameter-based geographical detector (OPGD) and multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) models, this study reveals the underlying mechanisms of PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> spatial variation in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), focusing on both natural and socioeconomic indicators. The OPGD model optimized the spatial scale and zoning of geographic data, enhancing the accuracy of identifying PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> drivers compared to conventional methods. The results showed that the optimal spatial scale of PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations in this study region was 9 km. Optimal discrete parameter combinations for most socioeconomic factors were quantile breaks with 9 intervals, while Natural Breaks or equal breaks were more suitable for natural factors. Both natural factors, such as precipitation, wind speed, dew point, temperature, solar radiation, and elevation, and anthropogenic factors, including land use types and vehicle numbers, were key drivers of variations in PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations over the years. Combined natural and socioeconomic factors significantly enhanced the explanatory power of PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations. The MGWR model’s fit for key factors was highest in spring, with adjusted R² values for PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> both exceeding 0.8, indicating that the coordinated management of these pollutants should prioritize spring, particularly in areas with low wind speed, where wind interacted non-linearly with most of factors, strongly influencing PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> variation. Even in summer, when O<sub>3</sub> and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations differed significantly, elevation and land use types each explain over 40% of the variance. This suggests that optimizing land use structures in low-altitude urbanized areas and enhancing local dispersion conditions could improve air quality. However, during autumn and winter, no significant common factor was found to explain the variation in both PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations. Vegetation-related factors, such as the Normalized Digital Vegetation Index (NDVI) and urban green coverage ratio, though weak individually, exhibited strong nonlinear interactions, highlighting their indirect role in pollutant dynamics, especially for O<sub>3</sub> in colder months and PM<sub>2.5</sub> during spring and summer. This study underscores the necessity for region-specific air pollution regulations to consider both natural and social factors across various time scales.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":49109,"journal":{"name":"Air Quality Atmosphere and Health","volume":"18 6","pages":"1681 - 1700"},"PeriodicalIF":2.9000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Exploring PM2.5 and O3 disparities and synergies management through integrated natural and sociology-environmental drivers in the YRD\",\"authors\":\"Fanmei Zeng,&nbsp;Chu Ren,&nbsp;Weiqing Wang,&nbsp;Liguo Zhou,&nbsp;Xiaoyan Dai,&nbsp;Weichun Ma\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s11869-025-01728-1\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Identifying the main factors influencing PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations is crucial for effective pollution control in urban areas. By combining optimal parameter-based geographical detector (OPGD) and multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) models, this study reveals the underlying mechanisms of PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> spatial variation in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), focusing on both natural and socioeconomic indicators. The OPGD model optimized the spatial scale and zoning of geographic data, enhancing the accuracy of identifying PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> drivers compared to conventional methods. The results showed that the optimal spatial scale of PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations in this study region was 9 km. Optimal discrete parameter combinations for most socioeconomic factors were quantile breaks with 9 intervals, while Natural Breaks or equal breaks were more suitable for natural factors. Both natural factors, such as precipitation, wind speed, dew point, temperature, solar radiation, and elevation, and anthropogenic factors, including land use types and vehicle numbers, were key drivers of variations in PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations over the years. Combined natural and socioeconomic factors significantly enhanced the explanatory power of PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations. The MGWR model’s fit for key factors was highest in spring, with adjusted R² values for PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> both exceeding 0.8, indicating that the coordinated management of these pollutants should prioritize spring, particularly in areas with low wind speed, where wind interacted non-linearly with most of factors, strongly influencing PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> variation. Even in summer, when O<sub>3</sub> and PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations differed significantly, elevation and land use types each explain over 40% of the variance. This suggests that optimizing land use structures in low-altitude urbanized areas and enhancing local dispersion conditions could improve air quality. However, during autumn and winter, no significant common factor was found to explain the variation in both PM<sub>2.5</sub> and O<sub>3</sub> concentrations. Vegetation-related factors, such as the Normalized Digital Vegetation Index (NDVI) and urban green coverage ratio, though weak individually, exhibited strong nonlinear interactions, highlighting their indirect role in pollutant dynamics, especially for O<sub>3</sub> in colder months and PM<sub>2.5</sub> during spring and summer. This study underscores the necessity for region-specific air pollution regulations to consider both natural and social factors across various time scales.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49109,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Air Quality Atmosphere and Health\",\"volume\":\"18 6\",\"pages\":\"1681 - 1700\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-04-21\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Air Quality Atmosphere and Health\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"93\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11869-025-01728-1\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"环境科学与生态学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Air Quality Atmosphere and Health","FirstCategoryId":"93","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11869-025-01728-1","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

确定影响PM2.5和O3浓度的主要因素对于有效控制城市污染至关重要。采用基于最优参数的地理探测器(OPGD)和多尺度地理加权回归(MGWR)模型相结合的方法,从自然指标和社会经济指标两个方面揭示了长三角地区PM2.5和O3空间变化的潜在机制。与传统方法相比,OPGD模型优化了地理数据的空间尺度和分区,提高了PM2.5和O3驱动因素识别的准确性。结果表明:研究区PM2.5和O3浓度的最佳空间尺度为9 km;大多数社会经济因素的最优离散参数组合为9个间隔的分位数断裂,而自然断裂或等断裂更适合于自然因素。降水、风速、露点、温度、太阳辐射和海拔等自然因子和土地利用类型、车辆数量等人为因子是PM2.5和O3浓度变化的主要驱动因素。自然和社会经济因素的组合显著增强了PM2.5和O3浓度的解释力。MGWR模型对关键因子的拟合度在春季最高,PM2.5和O3的调整后R²值均超过0.8,表明对这些污染物的协调管理应优先考虑春季,特别是在风速较低的地区,风与大部分因子的相互作用呈非线性,强烈影响PM2.5和O3的变化。即使在臭氧和PM2.5浓度显著差异的夏季,海拔和土地利用类型也各自解释了40%以上的差异。这表明,优化低海拔城市化地区的土地利用结构和增强局部分散条件可以改善空气质量。然而,在秋季和冬季,没有发现显著的共同因素来解释PM2.5和O3浓度的变化。归一化数字植被指数(NDVI)和城市绿化覆盖度等植被相关因子虽然单独较弱,但表现出较强的非线性相互作用,突出了它们对污染物动态的间接作用,特别是对寒冷月份的O3和春夏季的PM2.5。这项研究强调,有必要制定针对特定地区的空气污染法规,在不同的时间尺度上考虑自然和社会因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exploring PM2.5 and O3 disparities and synergies management through integrated natural and sociology-environmental drivers in the YRD

Identifying the main factors influencing PM2.5 and O3 concentrations is crucial for effective pollution control in urban areas. By combining optimal parameter-based geographical detector (OPGD) and multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) models, this study reveals the underlying mechanisms of PM2.5 and O3 spatial variation in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), focusing on both natural and socioeconomic indicators. The OPGD model optimized the spatial scale and zoning of geographic data, enhancing the accuracy of identifying PM2.5 and O3 drivers compared to conventional methods. The results showed that the optimal spatial scale of PM2.5 and O3 concentrations in this study region was 9 km. Optimal discrete parameter combinations for most socioeconomic factors were quantile breaks with 9 intervals, while Natural Breaks or equal breaks were more suitable for natural factors. Both natural factors, such as precipitation, wind speed, dew point, temperature, solar radiation, and elevation, and anthropogenic factors, including land use types and vehicle numbers, were key drivers of variations in PM2.5 and O3 concentrations over the years. Combined natural and socioeconomic factors significantly enhanced the explanatory power of PM2.5 and O3 concentrations. The MGWR model’s fit for key factors was highest in spring, with adjusted R² values for PM2.5 and O3 both exceeding 0.8, indicating that the coordinated management of these pollutants should prioritize spring, particularly in areas with low wind speed, where wind interacted non-linearly with most of factors, strongly influencing PM2.5 and O3 variation. Even in summer, when O3 and PM2.5 concentrations differed significantly, elevation and land use types each explain over 40% of the variance. This suggests that optimizing land use structures in low-altitude urbanized areas and enhancing local dispersion conditions could improve air quality. However, during autumn and winter, no significant common factor was found to explain the variation in both PM2.5 and O3 concentrations. Vegetation-related factors, such as the Normalized Digital Vegetation Index (NDVI) and urban green coverage ratio, though weak individually, exhibited strong nonlinear interactions, highlighting their indirect role in pollutant dynamics, especially for O3 in colder months and PM2.5 during spring and summer. This study underscores the necessity for region-specific air pollution regulations to consider both natural and social factors across various time scales.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Air Quality Atmosphere and Health
Air Quality Atmosphere and Health ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
2.00%
发文量
146
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Air Quality, Atmosphere, and Health is a multidisciplinary journal which, by its very name, illustrates the broad range of work it publishes and which focuses on atmospheric consequences of human activities and their implications for human and ecological health. It offers research papers, critical literature reviews and commentaries, as well as special issues devoted to topical subjects or themes. International in scope, the journal presents papers that inform and stimulate a global readership, as the topic addressed are global in their import. Consequently, we do not encourage submission of papers involving local data that relate to local problems. Unless they demonstrate wide applicability, these are better submitted to national or regional journals. Air Quality, Atmosphere & Health addresses such topics as acid precipitation; airborne particulate matter; air quality monitoring and management; exposure assessment; risk assessment; indoor air quality; atmospheric chemistry; atmospheric modeling and prediction; air pollution climatology; climate change and air quality; air pollution measurement; atmospheric impact assessment; forest-fire emissions; atmospheric science; greenhouse gases; health and ecological effects; clean air technology; regional and global change and satellite measurements. This journal benefits a diverse audience of researchers, public health officials and policy makers addressing problems that call for solutions based in evidence from atmospheric and exposure assessment scientists, epidemiologists, and risk assessors. Publication in the journal affords the opportunity to reach beyond defined disciplinary niches to this broader readership.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信