{"title":"金融中基于多尺度融合变压器的时间序列预测","authors":"Guangxia Xu, Han Hu, Chuang Ma, Jiahui Li","doi":"10.1155/int/3890049","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Time series forecasting is significant in market research and decision-making in the financial sector, but the complexity and uncertainty of financial data pose challenges to accurate forecasting. Although deep learning methods, including transformers, have significantly improved the forecasting effect, these methods still have limitations in dealing with the multiscale features of financial time series and their complex serial correlation. They fail to fully utilize the frequency domain’s multiscale features and spatial relationships. For this situation, this study proposes a time series forecasting method based on the multiscale fusion transformer for financial data, which aims to extract significant periodic patterns using frequency domain analysis effectively. Besides, the multiscale attention mechanism and graph convolution module are introduced to realize the detailed modeling of the time series simultaneously, effectively capture the spatial relationship, and obtain the correlation between different series on multiple frequency scales. In this study, experimental validation is carried out on several financial time series datasets, and the findings demonstrate that the proposed approach positively impacts predicting accuracy.</p>","PeriodicalId":14089,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Intelligent Systems","volume":"2025 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.7000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/int/3890049","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Time Series Forecasting Based on Multiscale Fusion Transformer in Finance\",\"authors\":\"Guangxia Xu, Han Hu, Chuang Ma, Jiahui Li\",\"doi\":\"10.1155/int/3890049\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Time series forecasting is significant in market research and decision-making in the financial sector, but the complexity and uncertainty of financial data pose challenges to accurate forecasting. Although deep learning methods, including transformers, have significantly improved the forecasting effect, these methods still have limitations in dealing with the multiscale features of financial time series and their complex serial correlation. They fail to fully utilize the frequency domain’s multiscale features and spatial relationships. For this situation, this study proposes a time series forecasting method based on the multiscale fusion transformer for financial data, which aims to extract significant periodic patterns using frequency domain analysis effectively. Besides, the multiscale attention mechanism and graph convolution module are introduced to realize the detailed modeling of the time series simultaneously, effectively capture the spatial relationship, and obtain the correlation between different series on multiple frequency scales. In this study, experimental validation is carried out on several financial time series datasets, and the findings demonstrate that the proposed approach positively impacts predicting accuracy.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":14089,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Intelligent Systems\",\"volume\":\"2025 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1155/int/3890049\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Intelligent Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"94\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1155/int/3890049\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"计算机科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Intelligent Systems","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1155/int/3890049","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Time Series Forecasting Based on Multiscale Fusion Transformer in Finance
Time series forecasting is significant in market research and decision-making in the financial sector, but the complexity and uncertainty of financial data pose challenges to accurate forecasting. Although deep learning methods, including transformers, have significantly improved the forecasting effect, these methods still have limitations in dealing with the multiscale features of financial time series and their complex serial correlation. They fail to fully utilize the frequency domain’s multiscale features and spatial relationships. For this situation, this study proposes a time series forecasting method based on the multiscale fusion transformer for financial data, which aims to extract significant periodic patterns using frequency domain analysis effectively. Besides, the multiscale attention mechanism and graph convolution module are introduced to realize the detailed modeling of the time series simultaneously, effectively capture the spatial relationship, and obtain the correlation between different series on multiple frequency scales. In this study, experimental validation is carried out on several financial time series datasets, and the findings demonstrate that the proposed approach positively impacts predicting accuracy.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Intelligent Systems serves as a forum for individuals interested in tapping into the vast theories based on intelligent systems construction. With its peer-reviewed format, the journal explores several fascinating editorials written by today''s experts in the field. Because new developments are being introduced each day, there''s much to be learned — examination, analysis creation, information retrieval, man–computer interactions, and more. The International Journal of Intelligent Systems uses charts and illustrations to demonstrate these ground-breaking issues, and encourages readers to share their thoughts and experiences.