基于深度学习模型的雷达回波临近预报双风分量融合

IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS
Liqun Zhou, Xiefei Zhi, Gen Wang, Yang Lyu, Yan Ji, Tianrui Du, Shuyan Ding, Guangdi Chen, Yu Weng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

临近预报是预测恶劣天气现象的关键工具,对防灾和减灾至关重要。然而,现有的临近预报模型往往由于背景信息输入不足而存在问题。在这项研究中,我们提出了后期融合风场UNet (LFWF UNet)模型,该模型集成了雷达数据和三维风场数据,以增强对流系统发展所需的三维物理背景信息。这种集成显著地提高了预测能力。此外,我们还引入了一种新的可变融合方法来解决直接多通道融合带来的串扰效应。结果表明,LFWF UNet模型在逐点评估、二元诊断评分和计算机视觉评估指标方面都优于其他实验方法。此外,雷达资料与多层风场资料的协同利用提高了预报精度。因此,结合多维物理风场信息的方法对临近预报具有很大的应用前景,可以有效地改善外推预报结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Fusion of Dual Wind Component for Radar Echo Nowcasting Based on a Deep Learning Model

Fusion of Dual Wind Component for Radar Echo Nowcasting Based on a Deep Learning Model

Fusion of Dual Wind Component for Radar Echo Nowcasting Based on a Deep Learning Model

Nowcasting serves as a pivotal tool in predicting severe weather phenomena, which is essential for disaster prevention and mitigation. However, existing nowcasting models often struggle due to insufficient background information input. In this study, we propose the Late Fusion Wind Filed UNet (LFWF UNet) model, which integrates radar data and 3D wind field data to enhance the three-dimensional physical back-ground information necessary for the development of convective systems. This integration significantly improves forecasting capabilities. Additionally, we introduce a novel variable fusion method to address the crosstalk effects associated with direct multi-channel fusion. The results, evaluated using several metrics, show that the LFWF UNet model outperforms other experimental approaches in both point-by-point evaluations, binary diagnostic scores and computer vision evaluation metrics. Furthermore, the synergistic use of radar data with multilayer wind field data enhances forecasting accuracy. Therefore, the approach of combining multidimensional physical wind field information holds great promise for nowcasting and can effectively improve extrapolated forecast results.

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来源期刊
Earth and Space Science
Earth and Space Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-General Earth and Planetary Sciences
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
3.20%
发文量
285
审稿时长
19 weeks
期刊介绍: Marking AGU’s second new open access journal in the last 12 months, Earth and Space Science is the only journal that reflects the expansive range of science represented by AGU’s 62,000 members, including all of the Earth, planetary, and space sciences, and related fields in environmental science, geoengineering, space engineering, and biogeochemistry.
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