发展中经济体的能源获取转型:需求响应一体化的创新框架

IF 4.9 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS
Timothy King Avordeh , Samuel Gyamfi , Forson Peprah , Christopher Quaidoo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究通过引入一个新的需求响应社会技术适应框架(STAF-DR),推进了发展中经济体需求响应适应的论述,该框架将基于移动的平台、分散的能源系统和政策改革整合在一起,特别强调行为经济学和制度能力建设。与之前的综述不同,我们采用混合方法,结合高峰负荷减少(5 - 15%)的定量荟萃分析和定性机构诊断,系统地分析了DR成功或失败背后的因果机制,涉及15个案例研究(2010-2025)。我们的框架确定了可扩展性的三个原始杠杆:(1)情境化技术捆绑(例如,肯尼亚混合短信/太阳能微电网DR的参与率比独立解决方案高18%),(2)根据监管成熟度量身定制的政策顺序(例如,加纳分阶段的TOU推出将实施成本降低了30%),以及(3)预测DR采用的社区信任指标(R2 = 0.72在印度农村)。该研究为DR在缓解可再生能源间歇性方面的作用提供了新的经验证据,表明移动DR可以使南非的太阳能弃电率降低12%,而智能电表的弃电率为5%。我们通过风险加权决策矩阵为政策制定者提供可操作的见解,解决纵向影响评估和农村DR可扩展性方面的差距。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Transforming energy access in developing economies: An innovative framework for demand response integration
This study advances the discourse on Demand Response adaptation in developing economies by introducing a novel Socio-Technical Adaptive Framework for Demand Response (STAF-DR), which integrates mobile-based platforms, decentralized energy systems, and policy reforms with a unique emphasis on behavioral economics and institutional capacity building. Unlike prior reviews, we systematically analyze causal mechanisms behind DR success or failure across 15 case studies (2010–2025) using a mixed-methods approach, combining quantitative meta-analysis of peak load reductions (5–15 %) with qualitative institutional diagnostics. Our framework identifies three original levers for scalability: (1) contextualized technology bundling (e.g., hybrid SMS/solar-microgrid DR in Kenya achieving 18 % higher participation than standalone solutions), (2) policy sequencing tailored to regulatory maturity (e.g., Ghana's phased TOU rollout reducing implementation costs by 30 %), and (3) community trust metrics that predict DR adoption (R2 = 0.72 in rural India). The study provides new empirical evidence on DR's role in mitigating renewable intermittency, demonstrating that mobile-DR can reduce solar curtailment by 12 % in South Africa, compared to 5 % for smart meters. We provide actionable insights for policymakers through a risk-weighted decision matrix, addressing gaps in longitudinal impact assessment and rural DR scalability.
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来源期刊
Energy for Sustainable Development
Energy for Sustainable Development ENERGY & FUELS-ENERGY & FUELS
CiteScore
8.10
自引率
9.10%
发文量
187
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the International Energy Initiative, Energy for Sustainable Development is the journal for decision makers, managers, consultants, policy makers, planners and researchers in both government and non-government organizations. It publishes original research and reviews about energy in developing countries, sustainable development, energy resources, technologies, policies and interactions.
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