基于物理的高速公路队列纵向轨迹预测深度学习方法

IF 3.1 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Zeying Ma, Zhihao Zhu, Rongjun Cheng
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,随着自动驾驶汽车的普及和车联网技术的发展,对车辆行为进行准确预测的需求日益迫切。然而,目前的研究大多集中在单个车辆的轨迹预测上,缺乏对车队尺度下车辆行为交互特征的有效提取和捕获。在排级轨迹预测方面,特别是在交通波动场景下,预测精度还有待提高。更重要的是,在保证高预测精度的同时,还必须不失去物理可解释性。为此,本文提出了一种基于物理的深度学习网络CNN-Int-LSTM-IDM来预测高速公路上跟随队列中所有车辆的纵向轨迹。具体而言,利用物理模型的约束,防止纯数据模型产生违反物理规律的轨迹,特别是在交通拥堵场景下,并在轨迹数据集上预先标定物理参数。此外,本文在模型训练过程中采用计划采样机制,防止误差随时间的累积和传播,同时考虑整个排中所有车辆的交互行为,优化整个排的轨迹生成精度。此外,预先使用卷积神经网络(CNN)提取队列中车辆之间的交互特征,然后使用Int-LSTM对这些特征的时间依赖性进行处理。最后,本文提出的CNN-Int-LSTM-IDM在highD和NGSIM (Next Generation Simulation)数据集上进行训练。预测实验结果表明,CNN-Int-LSTM- idm的预测误差明显小于Int-LSTM、CNN-Int-LSTM和Int-LSTM- idm三种基准模型的预测误差。与这三种基线模型相比,CNN-Int-LSTM-IDM在高d数据集上的均方误差分别降低了33 %、21 %和18 %。此外,在仿真实验中,CNN-Int-LSTM-IDM的性能也更加稳健。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A physics-based deep learning method for longitudinal trajectories prediction of platoon on highways
In recent years, with the popularization of autonomous vehicles and the development of vehicle networking technology, the demand for accurate prediction of vehicle behavior has become increasingly urgent. However, most current studies focus on single-vehicle trajectory prediction, lacking effective extraction and capture of vehicle behavior interaction features at the platoon scale. In terms of platoon-level trajectory prediction, especially in traffic fluctuation scenarios, the prediction accuracy still needs to be improved. More importantly, while ensuring high prediction accuracy, it is also necessary not to lose physical interpretability. To this end, this paper proposes a physics-based deep learning network CNN-Int-LSTM-IDM to predict the longitudinal trajectories of all vehicles in a following platoon on a highway. Specifically, the constraints of the physical model are used to prevent the pure data model from generating trajectories that violate physical laws, especially in traffic congestion scenarios, and the physical parameters are calibrated in advance on the trajectory dataset. In addition, this paper adopts a planned sampling mechanism in the model training process to prevent the error from accumulating and propagating over time, while considering the interaction behavior of all vehicles in the entire platoon to optimize the trajectory generation accuracy of the entire platoon. Besides, a convolutional neural network (CNN) is used in advance to extract the interaction features between vehicles in the platoon, and Int-LSTM then processes the temporal dependencies of these features. Finally, the proposed CNN-Int-LSTM-IDM is trained on the highD and NGSIM (Next Generation Simulation) dataset. The prediction experimental results show that the prediction error of CNN-Int-LSTM-IDM is significantly smaller than that of the three baseline models Int-LSTM, CNN-Int-LSTM, and Int-LSTM-IDM. Compared with these three baseline models, the mean square error of CNN-Int-LSTM-IDM on the highD dataset is reduced by 33 %, 21 %, and 18 %, respectively. In addition, in the simulation experiment, the performance of CNN-Int-LSTM-IDM is also more robust.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
9.10%
发文量
852
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications Recognized by the European Physical Society Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications. Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents. Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.
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