基于深度学习方法的清晰度指数对卫星直接正常太阳辐照度的改进估计

IF 6 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS
Shanlin Chen , Tao Jing , Mengying Li , Hiu Hung Lee , Siqi Bu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着太阳能系统装机容量的不断增加,太阳能资源评价是支持可行性研究的必要条件。这可以减少太阳能项目的相关风险,提高其可靠性。考虑到现场测量的稀缺性,基于卫星的高时间分辨率(即5分钟)的辐照度检索已被广泛用作太阳能资源评估的替代方法。然而,卫星到辐照度的算法,无论是物理的还是统计的,都更关注全球水平辐照度。大多数卫星衍生辐照度产品中的直接正常辐照度(DNI)由于对大气的高度敏感性而具有更多的不确定性。为了进一步提高端到端基于卫星的5分钟DNI估计的精度,提出了基于地外太阳辐照度的清晰度指数作为深度学习卫星-DNI模型的目标,并选择了8个光谱波段的图像。结果表明,清净指数能较好地反映大气的衰减效应,因此DNI估算具有较低的不确定性。利用清晰度指数计算地外太阳辐照度和预处理5分钟光谱卫星数据具有额外的优势,有利于大规模应用。虽然卫星- dni估算在某些站点晴空条件下存在较大误差,在更好地从卫星图像中提取大气信息(如云和气溶胶)方面仍需付出更多努力,特别是在低太阳高度下,但清晰度指数为5分钟卫星- dni反演提供了新的视角,降低了不确定性。这有利于提高太阳能工程设计的可靠性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Improved satellite-based estimation of direct normal solar irradiance using clearness index with deep learning methods
As the capacity addition of solar energy systems continues to increase, solar resource assessment is necessary in supporting the feasibility study. This can reduce associated risks of solar energy projects and improve their reliability. Considering the scarcity of on-site measurements, satellite-based irradiance retrievals with high temporal resolutions (i.e., 5-min) have been extensively used as an alternative in solar resource assessment. However, satellite-to-irradiance algorithms, either physical or statistical, focus more on the global horizontal irradiance. The direct normal irradiance (DNI) in most satellite-derived irradiance products is associated with more uncertainties because of its high sensitivity to the atmosphere. To further improve the accuracy in end-to-end satellite-based 5-min DNI estimations, the clearness index based on extraterrestrial solar irradiance is proposed as the target in deep learning satellite-to-DNI models with images of eight selected spectral bands. The results show that clearness index can better account for attenuation effects of the atmosphere, and thus the DNI estimations are associated with lower uncertainties. The use of clearness index offers additional advantages on computing extraterrestrial solar irradiance and pre-processing 5-min spectral satellite data, which is beneficial for large-scale applications. Although the satellite-to-DNI estimation shows high errors under clear-sky condition at some stations, and more efforts are still required in better extracting the atmospheric information (e.g., clouds and aerosols) from satellite images, especially at low solar elevations, the clearness index provides a new perspective in 5-min satellite-to-DNI retrievals with reduced uncertainties. This is beneficial to the reliability in designing solar energy projects.
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来源期刊
Solar Energy
Solar Energy 工程技术-能源与燃料
CiteScore
13.90
自引率
9.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
47 days
期刊介绍: Solar Energy welcomes manuscripts presenting information not previously published in journals on any aspect of solar energy research, development, application, measurement or policy. The term "solar energy" in this context includes the indirect uses such as wind energy and biomass
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