2000-2024年高速铁路事故制图:特征、模式和预防措施

IF 6.2 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS
Dai Wan-Lin , Shan Ming , Zhai Zhao , Hwang Bon-Gang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球高速铁路规模的不断扩大,高速铁路运行事故的发生也越来越频繁。然而,对过去二十年发生的高速铁路事故进行批判性分析的文献仍然缺乏。本研究旨在探讨世界范围内高速铁路事故的特点和模式,并提出可行的预防措施。为了实现这些目标,首先收集了2000年至2024年间全球发生的150起高速铁路事故。然后,进行了内容分析,系统地检查了150起事故信息的四个方面的分布特征:日期和地点、人员伤亡、原因和类型。随后,通过列联表检验来评估:(1)事故类型与人员伤亡之间的相关性;(二)事故类型和原因;(三)事故发生的国家和原因。最后,提出了可能有助于提高高速铁路系统安全运行的预防措施。结果表明,设备因素为主要暴露原因(41.61%),人为因素次之(33.58%),环境因素次之(24.82%)。其中,脱轨和碰撞事故是最常见、后果最严重的事故类型。结果还揭示了事故类型与伤亡和原因之间的显著相关性。由于研究全球高速铁路事故的特征和模式的研究有限,本研究是对现有知识体系的贡献。此外,本研究的结果可以让从业人员更深入地了解全球高速铁路事故,从而帮助他们制定更可行的措施,以确保高速铁路系统的安全运行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mapping high-speed railway accidents 2000–2024: characteristics, patterns, and preventive measures
With the scale of high-speed railways growing globally, high-speed railway accidents during operation occur more and more frequently. However, a critical analysis of high-speed railway accidents happening in the past two decades remains lacking in extant literature. The aims of this study are to explore the characteristics and patterns of high-speed railway accidents worldwide and to propose feasible preventive measures accordingly. To achieve these goals, 150 high-speed railway accidents occurring globally between 2000 and 2024 were gathered first. Then, content analysis was performed to systematically examine distribution characteristics across four aspects of the information of the 150 accidents: dates and locations, casualties, causes and types. Subsequently, contingency table test was performed to assess the correlations between: (1) accident type and casualty; (2) accident type and cause; and (3) accident country and cause. Lastly, preventive measures that could potentially help to improve the safe operation of high-speed railway systems were proposed. Results showed that equipment factors (41.61%) are exposed to be the main causes, followed by human factors (33.58%) and environmental factors (24.82%). Furthermore, derailment and collision accidents are the most common accident types having the most serious consequence. Results also revealed significant correlations between accident type and both casualty and cause. As limited research has been conducted to explore the characteristics and patterns of global high-speed railway accidents, this study is a contributory research to the current body of knowledge. Additionally, the results of this study can provide practitioners with a deeper understanding of global high-speed railway accidents and thereby helping them develop more feasible measures to ensure the safe operation of high-speed railway systems.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
16.90%
发文量
264
审稿时长
48 days
期刊介绍: Accident Analysis & Prevention provides wide coverage of the general areas relating to accidental injury and damage, including the pre-injury and immediate post-injury phases. Published papers deal with medical, legal, economic, educational, behavioral, theoretical or empirical aspects of transportation accidents, as well as with accidents at other sites. Selected topics within the scope of the Journal may include: studies of human, environmental and vehicular factors influencing the occurrence, type and severity of accidents and injury; the design, implementation and evaluation of countermeasures; biomechanics of impact and human tolerance limits to injury; modelling and statistical analysis of accident data; policy, planning and decision-making in safety.
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