物理感知机器学习彻底改变了水文学中基于过程的建模的科学范式

IF 10 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Qingsong Xu , Yilei Shi , Jonathan L. Bamber , Ye Tuo , Ralf Ludwig , Xiao Xiang Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确的水文理解和水循环预测对于解决与水资源管理相关的科学和社会挑战至关重要。现有的评论主要集中在机器学习(ML)在这一领域的发展,然而水文学和ML之间存在明显的区别,作为单独的范例。在这里,我们引入物理感知ML作为一种变革性的方法来克服感知障碍并彻底改变这两个领域。具体来说,我们对物理感知机器学习方法进行了全面的回顾,建立了一个结构化社区(PaML),将先前的物理知识或基于物理的建模集成到机器学习中。我们从四个方面系统地分析了这些PaML方法:物理数据引导的机器学习、物理知情的机器学习、物理嵌入式机器学习和物理感知混合学习。这四种方法以不同的方式将机器学习与物理结合起来,提供了平衡可解释性、泛化、计算成本、表示和可操作性的模型。PaML促进了ml辅助的假设,加速了从大数据中获得的见解,并促进了科学发现。我们启动了一个系统的探索水文在PaML,包括降雨径流和水动力过程。我们的研究突出了基于过程的水文学中不同目标最有前途和最具挑战性的方向,如推进基于PaML的解决方案,并通过PaML方法加强参数化、校准、数据生成、时空表征和不确定性量化。最后,发布了一个新的基于pml的水文群落,称为HydroPML,作为水文应用的基础。HydroPML增强了ML的可解释性和因果性,为实现数字水循环奠定了基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Physics-aware machine learning revolutionizes scientific paradigm for process-based modeling in hydrology
Accurate hydrological understanding and water cycle prediction are crucial for addressing scientific and societal challenges associated with the management of water resources. Existing reviews predominantly concentrate on the development of machine learning (ML) in this field, yet there is a clear distinction between hydrology and ML as separate paradigms. Here, we introduce physics-aware ML as a transformative approach to overcome the perceived barrier and revolutionize both fields. Specifically, we present a comprehensive review of the physics-aware ML methods, building a structured community (PaML) of existing methodologies that integrate prior physical knowledge or physics-based modeling into ML. We systematically analyze these PaML methodologies with respect to four aspects: physical data-guided ML, physics-informed ML, physics-embedded ML, and physics-aware hybrid learning. These four approaches integrate ML with physics in diverse manners, offering models that balance interpretability, generalization, computational cost, representation, and operability. PaML facilitates ML-aided hypotheses, accelerating insights from big data and fostering scientific discoveries. We initiate a systematic exploration of hydrology in PaML, including rainfall-runoff and hydrodynamic processes. Our study highlights the most promising and challenging directions for different objectives in process-based hydrology, such as advancing PaML-based solutions and enhancing parameterization, calibration, data generation, spatio-temporal representation, and uncertainty quantification through PaML methods. Finally, a new PaML-based hydrology community, termed HydroPML, is released as a foundation for hydrological applications. HydroPML enhances the explainability and causality of ML and lays the groundwork for the digital water cycle's realization.
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来源期刊
Earth-Science Reviews
Earth-Science Reviews 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
21.70
自引率
5.80%
发文量
294
审稿时长
15.1 weeks
期刊介绍: Covering a much wider field than the usual specialist journals, Earth Science Reviews publishes review articles dealing with all aspects of Earth Sciences, and is an important vehicle for allowing readers to see their particular interest related to the Earth Sciences as a whole.
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