Xiaoxia Yang , Jiahui Wan , Yongxing Li , Chuan-Zhi (Thomas) Xie , Botao Zhang
{"title":"基于知识数据双驱动的地铁车站洪水智能疏散框架","authors":"Xiaoxia Yang , Jiahui Wan , Yongxing Li , Chuan-Zhi (Thomas) Xie , Botao Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.physa.2025.130924","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Traditional building evacuation planning often lacks real-time adaptability in subway floods due to over-reliance on simulations, which bring complex physics and calibration challenges, leading to delays in risk assessment and jeopardizing occupant safety. To address this challenge, this study proposes a novel knowledge-data dual-driven framework for intelligent flood evacuation management in subway stations. The framework integrates rapid data-driven prediction enhanced by simulation-derived knowledge, and fast optimization guided by knowledge-based risk assessment within a decision-support system, aiming to improve real-time responsiveness and occupant safety. The novel components in this framework include a red-billed blue magpie-optimized deep learning model for evacuation time and density prediction with SHAP interpretability, a cloud-based fuzzy evaluation system for flood risk quantification, a multi-objective path optimizer balancing evacuation time and slip-fall risks, and a convolutional genetic algorithm for efficient solution generation. A real subway station case study is conducted by using Fluent and PathFinder to validate the proposed method, demonstrating that: (1) The prediction model achieves a 6.44% improvement over traditional TCN-GRU methods. (2) The cloud model-based weighting method effectively quantifies safety risks, providing data support for emergency decisions. (3) The path optimization method reduces evacuation time by 46.44 s and peak crowd density by 0.8477 p/m<sup>2</sup>, outperforming conventional methods by over 15.4%. These advancements position the framework as a transformative decision-support tool for intelligent building operations in underground structures, directly contributing to sustainable and safe built environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":20152,"journal":{"name":"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications","volume":"678 ","pages":"Article 130924"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A knowledge-data dual-driven framework for intelligent flood evacuation in subway stations\",\"authors\":\"Xiaoxia Yang , Jiahui Wan , Yongxing Li , Chuan-Zhi (Thomas) Xie , Botao Zhang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.physa.2025.130924\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Traditional building evacuation planning often lacks real-time adaptability in subway floods due to over-reliance on simulations, which bring complex physics and calibration challenges, leading to delays in risk assessment and jeopardizing occupant safety. To address this challenge, this study proposes a novel knowledge-data dual-driven framework for intelligent flood evacuation management in subway stations. The framework integrates rapid data-driven prediction enhanced by simulation-derived knowledge, and fast optimization guided by knowledge-based risk assessment within a decision-support system, aiming to improve real-time responsiveness and occupant safety. The novel components in this framework include a red-billed blue magpie-optimized deep learning model for evacuation time and density prediction with SHAP interpretability, a cloud-based fuzzy evaluation system for flood risk quantification, a multi-objective path optimizer balancing evacuation time and slip-fall risks, and a convolutional genetic algorithm for efficient solution generation. A real subway station case study is conducted by using Fluent and PathFinder to validate the proposed method, demonstrating that: (1) The prediction model achieves a 6.44% improvement over traditional TCN-GRU methods. (2) The cloud model-based weighting method effectively quantifies safety risks, providing data support for emergency decisions. (3) The path optimization method reduces evacuation time by 46.44 s and peak crowd density by 0.8477 p/m<sup>2</sup>, outperforming conventional methods by over 15.4%. These advancements position the framework as a transformative decision-support tool for intelligent building operations in underground structures, directly contributing to sustainable and safe built environments.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":20152,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications\",\"volume\":\"678 \",\"pages\":\"Article 130924\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"101\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037843712500576X\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"物理与天体物理\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications","FirstCategoryId":"101","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S037843712500576X","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
A knowledge-data dual-driven framework for intelligent flood evacuation in subway stations
Traditional building evacuation planning often lacks real-time adaptability in subway floods due to over-reliance on simulations, which bring complex physics and calibration challenges, leading to delays in risk assessment and jeopardizing occupant safety. To address this challenge, this study proposes a novel knowledge-data dual-driven framework for intelligent flood evacuation management in subway stations. The framework integrates rapid data-driven prediction enhanced by simulation-derived knowledge, and fast optimization guided by knowledge-based risk assessment within a decision-support system, aiming to improve real-time responsiveness and occupant safety. The novel components in this framework include a red-billed blue magpie-optimized deep learning model for evacuation time and density prediction with SHAP interpretability, a cloud-based fuzzy evaluation system for flood risk quantification, a multi-objective path optimizer balancing evacuation time and slip-fall risks, and a convolutional genetic algorithm for efficient solution generation. A real subway station case study is conducted by using Fluent and PathFinder to validate the proposed method, demonstrating that: (1) The prediction model achieves a 6.44% improvement over traditional TCN-GRU methods. (2) The cloud model-based weighting method effectively quantifies safety risks, providing data support for emergency decisions. (3) The path optimization method reduces evacuation time by 46.44 s and peak crowd density by 0.8477 p/m2, outperforming conventional methods by over 15.4%. These advancements position the framework as a transformative decision-support tool for intelligent building operations in underground structures, directly contributing to sustainable and safe built environments.
期刊介绍:
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications
Recognized by the European Physical Society
Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications.
Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents.
Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.