用E3SM-MMF耦合气候模拟

IF 4.6 2区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
W. M. Hannah, S. Mahajan, B. E. Harrop, N. Liu, L. Peng, M. S. Pritchard, B. R. Hillman, D. C. Bader, M. A. Taylor
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用E3SM-MMF对1950年至2014年的近期历史时期进行了模拟,该模型使用嵌入式二维云解析模型,该模型在gpu上高效运行,取代了传统的云和湍流参数化。对气候和变率的分析揭示了与E3SMv2相比,E3SM-MMF产生较小偏差的几个方面,包括更好地符合观测到的全球平均地表温度的演变,尽管ENSO的表征过于微弱和快速。此外,还进行了3次理想突变CO2试验,以评估气候敏感性和反馈。这些产生了三个有效气候敏感性估计值(4.38、5.21和6.06 K),在短波云反馈中有相应的分布。这些估计值处于CMIP集合灵敏度估计值的较高一端,并且差值表明存在大量的状态相关反馈。这些结果表明,多尺度建模框架(MMF)模型可以利用现代GPU计算平台用于气候相关实验和预测。在以前的文献中显示的E3SM-MMF的独特品质在很大程度上仍然存在,但是各种减少偏差的实例表明MMF模型在改善未来预测方面具有实用价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Coupled Climate Simulations With E3SM-MMF

Coupled Climate Simulations With E3SM-MMF

Coupled Climate Simulations With E3SM-MMF

Coupled Climate Simulations With E3SM-MMF

Simulations of the recent historical period from 1950 to 2014 are conducted with E3SM-MMF, which uses an embedded 2D cloud resolving model that runs efficiently on GPUs in place of traditional parameterizations for cloud and turbulence. Analysis of the climate and variability reveal several aspects where E3SM-MMF produces smaller biases compared to E3SMv2, including better agreement with the observed evolution of global mean surface temperature, although the representation of ENSO is too weak and fast. Three idealized abrupt CO2 experiments were also conducted to assess climate sensitivity and feedbacks. These yield three estimates of effective climate sensitivity (4.38, 5.21, and 6.06 K), with a corresponding spread in the shortwave cloud feedbacks. These estimates are on the higher end of sensitivity estimates from CMIP ensembles, and the spread indicates substantial state-dependent feedbacks. These results demonstrate how multiscale modeling framework (MMF) models can be used for climate relevant experiments and projections by leveraging modern GPU enabled computational platforms. The unique qualities of E3SM-MMF shown in previous literature are largely still present, but various instances of reduced biases suggest that MMF models have utility in improving future projections.

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来源期刊
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES-
CiteScore
11.40
自引率
11.80%
发文量
241
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (JAMES) is committed to advancing the science of Earth systems modeling by offering high-quality scientific research through online availability and open access licensing. JAMES invites authors and readers from the international Earth systems modeling community. Open access. Articles are available free of charge for everyone with Internet access to view and download. Formal peer review. Supplemental material, such as code samples, images, and visualizations, is published at no additional charge. No additional charge for color figures. Modest page charges to cover production costs. Articles published in high-quality full text PDF, HTML, and XML. Internal and external reference linking, DOI registration, and forward linking via CrossRef.
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