{"title":"基于知识驱动和情景模拟的WUI火灾动态风险评估","authors":"Xiaoxiao Ju , Shaobo Zhong , Zichen Yue , Wei Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105796","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid development of urbanization has significantly increased the risk of fires in the wildland-urban interface (WUI). Traditional risk assessment methods, which lack in-depth semantic expression of risk formation and rapid perception of disaster and environmental data, struggle to meet the demands for real-time and accurate assessment. This study focuses on the risk assessment and prevention of WUI fires. A dynamic fire risk assessment framework is proposed, merging flame spread simulation and impact analysis to quantify evolving hazards and exposure. This framework dynamically reflects the process of fire spread, fire hazard, and the exposure of vulnerable entities. Based on multi-source heterogeneous data and a knowledge meta-model of WUI fires, a WUI fire system ontology is created, and A spatiotemporal semantic graph database enables the integrated unification of fire scenario construction and knowledge-driven simulation. The research integrates WUI fire risk semantics with fire behavior simulation, coupling knowledge bases with simulation models to develop and innovate methods for fire risk assessment, providing robust support for WUI fire prevention, control, and emergency management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"130 ","pages":"Article 105796"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Dynamic risk assessment of WUI fires based on knowledge-driven approach and scenario simulation\",\"authors\":\"Xiaoxiao Ju , Shaobo Zhong , Zichen Yue , Wei Zhu\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105796\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>The rapid development of urbanization has significantly increased the risk of fires in the wildland-urban interface (WUI). Traditional risk assessment methods, which lack in-depth semantic expression of risk formation and rapid perception of disaster and environmental data, struggle to meet the demands for real-time and accurate assessment. This study focuses on the risk assessment and prevention of WUI fires. A dynamic fire risk assessment framework is proposed, merging flame spread simulation and impact analysis to quantify evolving hazards and exposure. This framework dynamically reflects the process of fire spread, fire hazard, and the exposure of vulnerable entities. Based on multi-source heterogeneous data and a knowledge meta-model of WUI fires, a WUI fire system ontology is created, and A spatiotemporal semantic graph database enables the integrated unification of fire scenario construction and knowledge-driven simulation. The research integrates WUI fire risk semantics with fire behavior simulation, coupling knowledge bases with simulation models to develop and innovate methods for fire risk assessment, providing robust support for WUI fire prevention, control, and emergency management.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":13915,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International journal of disaster risk reduction\",\"volume\":\"130 \",\"pages\":\"Article 105796\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-09-08\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International journal of disaster risk reduction\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221242092500620X\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221242092500620X","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Dynamic risk assessment of WUI fires based on knowledge-driven approach and scenario simulation
The rapid development of urbanization has significantly increased the risk of fires in the wildland-urban interface (WUI). Traditional risk assessment methods, which lack in-depth semantic expression of risk formation and rapid perception of disaster and environmental data, struggle to meet the demands for real-time and accurate assessment. This study focuses on the risk assessment and prevention of WUI fires. A dynamic fire risk assessment framework is proposed, merging flame spread simulation and impact analysis to quantify evolving hazards and exposure. This framework dynamically reflects the process of fire spread, fire hazard, and the exposure of vulnerable entities. Based on multi-source heterogeneous data and a knowledge meta-model of WUI fires, a WUI fire system ontology is created, and A spatiotemporal semantic graph database enables the integrated unification of fire scenario construction and knowledge-driven simulation. The research integrates WUI fire risk semantics with fire behavior simulation, coupling knowledge bases with simulation models to develop and innovate methods for fire risk assessment, providing robust support for WUI fire prevention, control, and emergency management.
期刊介绍:
The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international.
Key topics:-
-multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters
-the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques
-discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels
-disasters associated with climate change
-vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends
-emerging risks
-resilience against disasters.
The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.