建筑环境对极端高温和城市热恢复力的双重影响——以北京为例

IF 6.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Qing Liu , Wanlu Ouyang , Zheng Tan , Yuqian Mei , Bowen Bai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

缓解城市热需要降低极端地表温度(ELST)和增强城市热恢复能力(UHR)。然而,这两个目标往往是分开研究的。本研究对北京核心区的ELST和UHR进行了综合分析。我们将UHR定义为热阻指数-在极端炎热天气中抵抗温度升高的能力。利用地理加权随机森林(GWRF)和SHapley加性解释(SHAP),我们分析了建筑环境属性如何同时影响ELST和UHR。研究结果表明:1)ELST和UHR在空间上存在94.3%的不匹配,表明这两个指标反映了城市热环境相关但不同的方面;(2)水体对降低地表温度的影响最大,绿化对增强地表温度的影响最大;3)各建筑环境属性对ELST和UHR的影响具有空间异质性;④绿化与水的协同效应具有环境依赖性,降低了27.6%的研究区ELST,提高了30.7%的UHR;5) GWRF模型显著优于非空间方法(ELST R2 = 0.825, UHR R2 = 0.903)。这项研究强调了针对降低温度和增强弹性的定制策略的必要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The dual impacts of built environment on extreme heat and urban heat resilience: A comparative study in Beijing
Mitigating urban heat requires both reducing extreme land surface temperatures (ELST) and enhancing urban heat resilience (UHR). However, these two goals are often studied in isolation. This study provides an integrated analysis of ELST and UHR across Beijing's core urban area. We define UHR as an index of thermal resistance—ability to resist temperature increases during extreme hot days. Using Geographically Weighted Random Forest (GWRF) with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), we analyze how built environment attributes simultaneously influence both ELST and UHR. Our findings reveal that: 1) A critical 94.3 % spatial mismatch between areas with ELST and UHR, indicating that two metrics capture related but distinct aspects of urban thermal environment; 2) While water bodies were the most influential factor in reducing ELST, greenery had the greatest impact on enhancing UHR; 3) The effects of all built environment attributes on ELST and UHR were spatially heterogeneous; 4) The synergistic benefits of greenery and water were context-dependent, reducing ELST in 27.6 % of study area and enhancing UHR in 30.7 %; and 5) The GWRF model significantly outperformed non-spatial approaches (R2 = 0.825 for ELST, 0.903 for UHR). This research underscores the necessity of tailoring strategies that distinctly target temperature reduction and resilience enhancement.
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来源期刊
Urban Climate
Urban Climate Social Sciences-Urban Studies
CiteScore
9.70
自引率
9.40%
发文量
286
期刊介绍: Urban Climate serves the scientific and decision making communities with the publication of research on theory, science and applications relevant to understanding urban climatic conditions and change in relation to their geography and to demographic, socioeconomic, institutional, technological and environmental dynamics and global change. Targeted towards both disciplinary and interdisciplinary audiences, this journal publishes original research papers, comprehensive review articles, book reviews, and short communications on topics including, but not limited to, the following: Urban meteorology and climate[...] Urban environmental pollution[...] Adaptation to global change[...] Urban economic and social issues[...] Research Approaches[...]
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