Xin Luo, Jichang Li, Yi'an Ma, Lingling Yang, Naqi Ma
{"title":"白蛋白比和肝腹面积比是乙肝后肝硬化患者有希望的预后指标。","authors":"Xin Luo, Jichang Li, Yi'an Ma, Lingling Yang, Naqi Ma","doi":"10.62347/KKMB6772","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To evaluate the clinical relevance of the Albumin Ratio (AR) and Liver-to-Abdominal Area Ratio (LAAR) as prognostic markers for patients with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 278 patients diagnosed with hepatitis B-associated cirrhosis at Baoji Central Hospital from January 2017 to December 2020. Clinical data, laboratory results (AR), and imaging data (LAAR) were collected. Prognostic value of AR and LAAR was assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, Cox proportional hazards regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. A nomogram integrating multiple variables was developed and validated to dynamically predict 6-, 12-, and 24-month survival outcomes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Both AR and LAAR were significantly reduced in the deceased group compared to survivors (P<0.05). Cox regression analysis identified AR (HR=1.86, 95% CI: 1.40-2.45, P<0.001) and LAAR (HR=1.67, 95% CI: 1.25-2.22, P=0.002) as independent prognostic factors. Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed significantly shorter survival in patients with lower AR and LAAR (P<0.001). Time-dependent ROC analysis indicated good predictive performance for AR (AUC up to 0.85), while LAAR showed relatively low discrimination, with AUCs ranging from 0.507 to 0.623. The nomogram, incorporating both AR and LAAR, exhibited excellent discrimination (C-index =0.950), and its predictive accuracy was validated through calibration curves.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>AR and LAAR are critical prognostic indicators in hepatitis B-related cirrhosis. The nomogram model, integrating these values, supports tailored treatment plans and monitoring strategies in clinical settings. Patients with lower AR and LAAR have poorer survival outcomes, and the model's robust predictive capacity has been validated, enhancing precision in patient management and supporting individualized therapeutic decisions.</p>","PeriodicalId":7731,"journal":{"name":"American journal of translational research","volume":"17 8","pages":"5949-5961"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12432696/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Albumin ratio and liver-to-abdominal area ratio are promising prognostic indicators for patients with post-hepatitis B cirrhosis.\",\"authors\":\"Xin Luo, Jichang Li, Yi'an Ma, Lingling Yang, Naqi Ma\",\"doi\":\"10.62347/KKMB6772\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To evaluate the clinical relevance of the Albumin Ratio (AR) and Liver-to-Abdominal Area Ratio (LAAR) as prognostic markers for patients with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 278 patients diagnosed with hepatitis B-associated cirrhosis at Baoji Central Hospital from January 2017 to December 2020. Clinical data, laboratory results (AR), and imaging data (LAAR) were collected. Prognostic value of AR and LAAR was assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, Cox proportional hazards regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. A nomogram integrating multiple variables was developed and validated to dynamically predict 6-, 12-, and 24-month survival outcomes.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Both AR and LAAR were significantly reduced in the deceased group compared to survivors (P<0.05). Cox regression analysis identified AR (HR=1.86, 95% CI: 1.40-2.45, P<0.001) and LAAR (HR=1.67, 95% CI: 1.25-2.22, P=0.002) as independent prognostic factors. Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed significantly shorter survival in patients with lower AR and LAAR (P<0.001). Time-dependent ROC analysis indicated good predictive performance for AR (AUC up to 0.85), while LAAR showed relatively low discrimination, with AUCs ranging from 0.507 to 0.623. The nomogram, incorporating both AR and LAAR, exhibited excellent discrimination (C-index =0.950), and its predictive accuracy was validated through calibration curves.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>AR and LAAR are critical prognostic indicators in hepatitis B-related cirrhosis. The nomogram model, integrating these values, supports tailored treatment plans and monitoring strategies in clinical settings. Patients with lower AR and LAAR have poorer survival outcomes, and the model's robust predictive capacity has been validated, enhancing precision in patient management and supporting individualized therapeutic decisions.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":7731,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"American journal of translational research\",\"volume\":\"17 8\",\"pages\":\"5949-5961\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2025-08-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12432696/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"American journal of translational research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.62347/KKMB6772\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2025/1/1 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"eCollection\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"American journal of translational research","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.62347/KKMB6772","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
目的:评价白蛋白比(Albumin Ratio, AR)和肝腹面积比(Liver-to-Abdominal Area Ratio, LAAR)作为乙型肝炎相关性肝硬化患者预后指标的临床意义。方法:对2017年1月至2020年12月宝鸡市中心医院诊断为乙型肝炎相关肝硬化的278例患者进行回顾性队列研究。收集临床资料、实验室结果(AR)和影像学资料(LAAR)。采用Kaplan-Meier生存分析、Cox比例风险回归和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估AR和LAAR的预后价值。我们开发并验证了一个整合多个变量的nomogram动态预测6个月、12个月和24个月的生存结果。结果:与幸存者相比,死亡组的AR和LAAR均显著降低(结论:AR和LAAR是乙型肝炎相关肝硬化的关键预后指标。nomogram模型,整合了这些值,在临床环境中支持量身定制的治疗计划和监测策略。AR和LAAR较低的患者生存结果较差,该模型的强大预测能力已得到验证,可提高患者管理的准确性并支持个性化治疗决策。
Albumin ratio and liver-to-abdominal area ratio are promising prognostic indicators for patients with post-hepatitis B cirrhosis.
Objective: To evaluate the clinical relevance of the Albumin Ratio (AR) and Liver-to-Abdominal Area Ratio (LAAR) as prognostic markers for patients with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis.
Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 278 patients diagnosed with hepatitis B-associated cirrhosis at Baoji Central Hospital from January 2017 to December 2020. Clinical data, laboratory results (AR), and imaging data (LAAR) were collected. Prognostic value of AR and LAAR was assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, Cox proportional hazards regression, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. A nomogram integrating multiple variables was developed and validated to dynamically predict 6-, 12-, and 24-month survival outcomes.
Results: Both AR and LAAR were significantly reduced in the deceased group compared to survivors (P<0.05). Cox regression analysis identified AR (HR=1.86, 95% CI: 1.40-2.45, P<0.001) and LAAR (HR=1.67, 95% CI: 1.25-2.22, P=0.002) as independent prognostic factors. Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed significantly shorter survival in patients with lower AR and LAAR (P<0.001). Time-dependent ROC analysis indicated good predictive performance for AR (AUC up to 0.85), while LAAR showed relatively low discrimination, with AUCs ranging from 0.507 to 0.623. The nomogram, incorporating both AR and LAAR, exhibited excellent discrimination (C-index =0.950), and its predictive accuracy was validated through calibration curves.
Conclusion: AR and LAAR are critical prognostic indicators in hepatitis B-related cirrhosis. The nomogram model, integrating these values, supports tailored treatment plans and monitoring strategies in clinical settings. Patients with lower AR and LAAR have poorer survival outcomes, and the model's robust predictive capacity has been validated, enhancing precision in patient management and supporting individualized therapeutic decisions.