在自我恢复和社会支持的网络上揭示疫情的传播和控制

IF 3.1 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY
Qingchu Wu , Lin Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

鉴于个人康复的内在复杂性,自我康复源于个人本身,而社会支持则源于他们易受影响的环境。利用淬火平均场法,建立了两种不同的解析模型。通过对稳定性和分岔的综合分析,确定流行病爆发的条件。连续时间模拟证实了这些模型在扩散行为方面的预测能力。我们的研究结果表明,自我恢复和社会支持都可以降低疫情爆发的可能性。进一步的模拟表明,自恢复可以消除无标度网络中的爆炸式转变,但只能抑制随机规则网络中的爆炸式转变的大小。这些见解可能对政府加强疫情控制宣传工作的战略产生深远影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Unveiling epidemic spreading and control on networks with self-recovery and social support
Given the inherent complexities of individual recovery, self-recovery stems from the individual themselves, whereas social support originates from their susceptible surroundings. Utilizing the quenched mean-field method, two distinct analytical models are developed. The condition for an epidemic outbreak is established through a comprehensive analysis of stability and bifurcation. Continuous-time simulations confirm the predictive capability of these models in terms of spreading behavior. Our findings indicate that both self-recovery and social support can decrease the likelihood of an epidemic outbreak. Further simulations imply that self-recovery can eradicate the explosive transition in scale-free networks, but only dampen its magnitude in random regular networks. These insights could have profound implications for governmental strategies in increasing its publicity efforts for epidemic control.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
9.10%
发文量
852
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications Recognized by the European Physical Society Physica A publishes research in the field of statistical mechanics and its applications. Statistical mechanics sets out to explain the behaviour of macroscopic systems by studying the statistical properties of their microscopic constituents. Applications of the techniques of statistical mechanics are widespread, and include: applications to physical systems such as solids, liquids and gases; applications to chemical and biological systems (colloids, interfaces, complex fluids, polymers and biopolymers, cell physics); and other interdisciplinary applications to for instance biological, economical and sociological systems.
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